Wednesday, August 27, 2008

Week 1 FEI Forecasts

FEI Forecasts represent the expected Margin of Victory at the conclusion of Competitive Possessions in the game, calculated as a function of the current FEI rating of each team, the expected number of Competitive Possessions to be played, and the expected scoring pace of the game. The Projected Win Expectation (PWE) of the identified game winner is also provided.

Thursday, August 28
68.7% PWE; Oregon State 27, STANFORD 19 (28-36 F) X
80.6% PWE; SOUTH CAROLINA 28, North Carolina State 14 (34-0 F)
69.6% PWE; Troy 26, MIDDLE TENNESSEE 18 (31-17 F)

68.8% PWE; UTEP 30, BUFFALO (h) 22 (17-42 F) X
58.5% PWE; Vanderbilt 24, MIAMI (OH) 21 (34-13 F)
92.7% PWE; Wake Forest 35, BAYLOR 11 (41-13 F)

Friday, August 29
61.0% PWE; RICE (h) 28, SMU 24 (56-27 F)
66.1% PWE; Temple 26, ARMY 20 (35-7 F)

Saturday, August 30
95.5% PWE; ARIZONA 38, Idaho 10 (70-0 F)
97.3% PWE; AUBURN 39, Louisiana Monroe 3 (34-0 F)
98.1% PWE; Boston College 41, KENT STATE 6 (21-0 F)
69.3% PWE; CALIFORNIA 29, Michigan State 21 (38-31 F)
66.2% PWE; CLEMSON 23, Alabama 17 (10-34 F) X
97.8% PWE; FLORIDA 44, Hawaii 13 (56-10 F)
85.7% PWE; INDIANA 33, Western Kentucky 15 (31-13 F)
97.9% PWE; KANSAS 40, Florida International 6 (40-10 F)
89.1% PWE; KANSAS STATE 35, North Texas 14 (45-6 F)
61.7% PWE; MICHIGAN 26, Utah 22 (23-25 F) X
72.1% PWE; MINNESOTA 30, Northern Illinois 21 (31-27 F)
76.4% PWE; MISSISSIPPI 30, Memphis 18 (41-24 F)
87.9% PWE; Mississippi State 33, LOUISIANA TECH 14 (14-22 F) X
84.8% PWE; Missouri 33, Illinois 16 (52-42 F)
66.4% PWE; NEBRASKA 28, Western Michigan 21 (47-24 F)
76.5% PWE; NORTHWESTERN 30, Syracuse 18 (30-10 F)
52.0% PWE; Oklahoma State 27, WASHINGTON STATE 26 (39-13 F)
81.2% PWE; OREGON 33, Washington 17 (44-10 F)
86.7% PWE; PITTSBURGH 35, Bowling Green 17 (17-27 F) X
80.6% PWE; SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI 31, Louisiana Lafayette 17 (51-21 F)
76.8% PWE; TCU 30, NEW MEXICO (h) 17 (26-3 F)
96.7% PWE; TEXAS 40, Florida Atlantic 11 (52-10 F)
88.7% PWE; TEXAS A&M 34, Arkansas State 15 (14-18 F) X
71.4% PWE; Tulsa 31, UAB 22 (45-22 F)
68.6% PWE; UNLV 27, Utah State 20 (27-17 F)
90.7% PWE; USC 33, VIRGINIA (h) 12 (52-7 F)
90.7% PWE; Virginia Tech 34, EAST CAROLINA 12 (22-27 F) X
98.0% PWE; WISCONSIN 43, Akron 6 (38-17 F)
69.3% PWE; WYOMING 28, Ohio 20 (21-20 F)

Sunday, August 31
78.5% PWE; COLORADO 30, Colorado State 17 (38-17 F)
66.2% PWE; LOUISVILLE 30, Kentucky 24 (2-27 F) X

Monday, September 1
64.6% PWE; RUTGERS 28, Fresno State 23 (7-24 F) X
72.0% PWE; Tennessee 29, UCLA 19 (24-27 F) X

5 comments:

Anonymous said...

Score of the UK-UL game was 27-2, not 17-2.

LaFortune Teller said...

Thanks. Corrected.

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