Wednesday, September 17, 2008

Week 4 FEI Forecasts

FEI Forecasts represent the expected Margin of Victory at the conclusion of Competitive Possessions in the game, calculated as a function of the current FEI rating of each team, the expected number of Competitive Possessions to be played, and the expected scoring pace of the game. The Projected Win Expectation (PWE) of the identified game winner is also provided.

Wednesday, September 17
57.0% PWE; Kansas State 28, LOUISVILLE 26 (29-38 F) X

Thursday, September 18
57.1% PWE; COLORADO 24, West Virginia 21 (17-14 F)

Friday, September 19
94.6% PWE; CONNECTICUT 35, Baylor 10 (31-28 F)

Saturday, September 20
71.7% PWE; Akron 30, ARMY 20 (22-3 F)
62.0% PWE; Alabama 26, ARKANSAS 21 (49-14 F)
72.4% PWE; Arizona 28, UCLA 17 (31-10 F)
92.3% PWE; BOSTON COLLEGE 35, Central Florida 12 (34-7 F)
98.2% PWE; BYU 42, Wyoming 6 (44-0 F)
85.3% PWE; CINCINNATI 31, Miami (OH) 14 (45-20 F)
91.4% PWE; East Carolina 37, NORTH CAROLINA STATE 13 (24-30 F) X
64.3% PWE; Florida 27, TENNESSEE 21 (30-6 F)
57.2% PWE; FLORIDA STATE 24, Wake Forest 21 (3-12 F) X
93.2% PWE; Fresno State 38, TOLEDO 14 (55-54 F)
66.3% PWE; Georgia 27, ARIZONA STATE 20 (27-10 F)
88.6% PWE; GEORGIA TECH 30, Mississippi State 10 (38-7 F)
60.6% PWE; Houston 28, COLORADO STATE 24 (25-28 F) X
53.8% PWE; INDIANA 26, Ball State 24 (20-42 F) X
65.7% PWE; Iowa 24, PITTSBURGH 17 (20-21 F) X
56.7% PWE; Iowa State 23, UNLV 21 (31-34 F) X
64.3% PWE; LOUISIANA LAFAYETTE 28, Kent State 23 (44-27 F)
59.7% PWE; LSU 23, AUBURN (h) 19 (26-21 F)
99.9% PWE; MARYLAND 45, Eastern Michigan 0 (51-24 F)
59.3% PWE; Middle Tennessee 24, ARKANSAS STATE 21 (14-31 F) X
98.3% PWE; MINNESOTA 42, Florida Atlantic 10 (37-3 F)
98.3% PWE; MISSOURI 42, Buffalo 7 (42-21 F)
62.9% PWE; NAVY 28, Rutgers 24 (23-21 F)
86.2% PWE; NORTHWESTERN 34, Ohio 16 (16-8 F)
56.5% PWE; Notre Dame 26, MICHIGAN STATE 24 (7-23 F) X
90.8% PWE; OHIO STATE 31, Troy 10 (28-10 F)
74.3% PWE; OREGON 31, Boise State 21 (32-37 F) X
98.3% PWE; PENN STATE 37, Temple 3 (45-3 F)
92.3% PWE; PURDUE 37, Central Michigan 14 (32-25 F)
99.9% PWE; South Florida 51, FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL 0 (17-9 F)
85.0% PWE; SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI 31, Marshall 14 (27-34 F) X
88.3% PWE; STANFORD 33, San Jose State 14 (23-10 F)
99.9% PWE; TCU 49, SMU (h) 0 (48-7 F)
98.3% PWE; TEXAS 45, Rice 12 (52-10 F)
60.0% PWE; TEXAS A&M 25, Miami 21 (23-41 F) X
64.3% PWE; TULANE 28, Louisiana Monroe 23 (24-10 F)
79.6% PWE; TULSA 33, New Mexico 20 (56-14 F)
72.3% PWE; Utah 30, AIR FORCE 20 (30-23 F)
78.9% PWE; UTAH STATE 30, Idaho 18 (42-17 F)
75.1% PWE; UTEP 33, New Mexico State 23 (33-34 F) X
52.6% PWE; Vanderbilt 22, MISSISSIPPI 21 (23-17 F)
51.4% PWE; Virginia Tech 21, NORTH CAROLINA 20 (20-17 F)

2 comments:

Wheell said...

You expect 49 points in Missouri-Buffalo? Surely you jest. :)

Anonymous said...

i used your system again this week, with great results. keep up the good work.