Tuesday, September 30, 2008

Week 6 FEI Forecasts

FEI Forecasts represent the expected Margin of Victory at the conclusion of Competitive Possessions in the game, calculated as a function of the current FEI rating of each team, the expected number of Competitive Possessions to be played, and the expected scoring pace of the game. The Projected Win Expectation (PWE) of the identified game winner is also provided.

Tuesday, September 30
88.0% PWE; MIDDLE TENNESSEE 32, Florida Atlantic 14 (14-13 F)

Wednesday, October 1
99.9% PWE; BOISE STATE 51, Louisiana Tech 3 (38-3 F)

Thursday, October 2
75.0% PWE; Memphis 33, UAB 21 (33-30 F)
79.9% PWE; SOUTH FLORIDA 30, Pittsburgh 16 (21-26 F) X
87.4% PWE; UTAH 34, Oregon State 14 (31-28 F)

Friday, October 3
99.9% PWE; BYU 43, UTAH STATE (h) 3 (34-14 F)
60.5% PWE; Cincinnati 25, MARSHALL 21 (33-10 F)

Saturday, October 4
64.6% PWE; Akron 28, KENT STATE 21 (30-27 F)
75.5% PWE; ALABAMA 28, Kentucky 17 (17-14 F)
95.2% PWE; ARIZONA 35, Washington 8 (48-14 F)
88.7% PWE; Ball State 37, TOLEDO 17 (31-0 F)
82.3% PWE; Boston College 31, NORTH CAROLINA STATE 14 (38-31 F)
97.3% PWE; BOWLING GREEN 40, Eastern Michigan 12 (21-24 F) X
79.9% PWE; CALIFORNIA 32, Arizona State 19 (24-14 F)
78.3% PWE; CENTRAL FLORIDA (h) 31, SMU 19 (31-17 F)
55.9% PWE; COLORADO STATE (h) 25, UNLV 22 (41-28 F)
99.9% PWE; Florida 47, ARKANSAS 0 (38-7 F)
79.0% PWE; Florida International 30, NORTH TEXAS 15 (42-10 F)
69.8% PWE; Florida State 27, MIAMI 17 (41-39 F)
98.3% PWE; FRESNO STATE 44, Hawaii 10 (29-32 F) X
74.9% PWE; GEORGIA TECH 27, Duke 17 (27-0 F)
77.3% PWE; Kansas 31, IOWA STATE 17 (35-33 F)
53.5% PWE; Louisiana Lafayette 25, LOUISIANA MONROE 24 (44-35 F)
95.4% PWE; Maryland 34, VIRGINIA 7 (0-31 F) X
81.0% PWE; MICHIGAN 30, Illinois 16 (20-45 F) X
64.1% PWE; MICHIGAN STATE 26, Iowa 21 (16-13 F)
85.3% PWE; MINNESOTA 33, Indiana 17 (16-7 F)
83.1% PWE; MISSISSIPPI 29, South Carolina 14 (24-31 F) X
58.4% PWE; Missouri 26, NEBRASKA 23 (52-17 F)
50.2% PWE; Navy 27, AIR FORCE 26 (33-27 F)
81.8% PWE; Nevada 35, IDAHO 17 (49-14 F)
83.6% PWE; NEW MEXICO 31, Wyoming 15 (24-0 F)
78.4% PWE; NORTH CAROLINA 30, Connecticut 17 (38-12 F)
52.6% PWE; Northern Illinois 24, TENNESSEE 23 (9-13 F) X
84.2% PWE; NOTRE DAME 31, Stanford 14 (28-21 F)
95.5% PWE; Oklahoma 38, BAYLOR 11 (49-17 F)
95.5% PWE; OKLAHOMA STATE 39, Texas A&M 14 (56-28 F)
88.9% PWE; Penn State 33, PURDUE 11 (20-6 F)
81.1% PWE; SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI (h) 34, UTEP 20 (37-40 F) X
93.9% PWE; TCU 35, San Diego State 10 (41-7 F)
58.6% PWE; Temple 25, MIAMI (OH) 22 (28-10 F)
76.1% PWE; Texas 33, COLORADO 20 (38-14 F)
74.3% PWE; Texas Tech 34, KANSAS STATE 21 (58-28 F)
86.7% PWE; TULANE 35, Army 17 (13-44 F) X
94.7% PWE; TULSA 42, Rice 17 (63-28 F)
85.0% PWE; UCLA 34, Washington State 15 (28-3 F)
79.2% PWE; USC 33, Oregon 20 (44-10 F)
75.6% PWE; VANDERBILT 27, Auburn 17 (14-13 F)
99.9% PWE; VIRGINIA TECH 50, Western Kentucky 0 (27-13 F)
82.1% PWE; WEST VIRGINIA 33, Rutgers 18 (24-17 F)
66.0% PWE; WESTERN MICHIGAN 28, Ohio 22 (41-20 F)
75.0% PWE; WISCONSIN 26, Ohio State 16 (17-20 F) X

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