Tuesday, October 07, 2008

Week 7 FEI Forecasts

FEI Forecasts represent the expected Margin of Victory at the conclusion of Competitive Possessions in the game, calculated as a function of the current FEI rating of each team, the expected number of Competitive Possessions to be played, and the expected scoring pace of the game. The Projected Win Expectation (PWE) of the identified game winner is also provided.

Tuesday, October 7
54.1% PWE; Troy 23, FLORIDA ATLANTIC 22 (30-17 F)

Thursday, October 9
93.2% PWE; HOUSTON (h) 37, UAB 14 (45-20 F)
95.5% PWE; WAKE FOREST 35, Clemson 9 (12-7 F)

Friday, October 10
67.1% PWE; MEMPHIS 30, Louisville 24 (28-35 F) X

Saturday, October 11
87.1% PWE; Air Force 33, SAN DIEGO STATE 14 (35-10 F)
61.8% PWE; Arizona 24, STANFORD 19 (23-24 F) X
83.5% PWE; ARKANSAS STATE 31, Louisiana Monroe 16 (37-29 F)
86.2% PWE; ARMY 34, Eastern Michigan 17 (17-13 F)
98.5% PWE; AUBURN 42, Arkansas 3 (22-25 F) X
98.5% PWE; Ball State 43, WESTERN KENTUCKY 7 (24-7 F)
68.2% PWE; Boise State 30, SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI 21 (24-7 F)
53.9% PWE; Bowling Green 26, AKRON 25 (37-33 F)
51.0% PWE; BUFFALO 25, Western Michigan 24 (28-34 F) X
95.5% PWE; BYU 37, New Mexico 10 (21-3 F)
83.3% PWE; CINCINNATI 33, Rutgers 17 (13-10 F)
90.0% PWE; East Carolina 35, VIRGINIA 13 (20-35 F) X
71.5% PWE; FLORIDA (h) 27, LSU 19 (51-21 F)
97.7% PWE; FRESNO STATE 44, Idaho 6 (45-32 F)
91.1% PWE; GEORGIA 33, Tennessee 13 (26-14 F)
74.0% PWE; HAWAII 33, Louisiana Tech 24 (24-14 F)
68.1% PWE; ILLINOIS 28, Minnesota 22 (20-27 F) X
79.7% PWE; Iowa 30, INDIANA 15 (45-9 F)
66.8% PWE; Iowa State 27, BAYLOR 20 (10-38 F) X
91.8% PWE; KANSAS 37, Colorado 14 (30-14 F)
50.8% PWE; KENTUCKY 25, South Carolina 24 (17-24 F) X
96.0% PWE; Louisiana Lafayette 38, NORTH TEXAS 11 (59-30 F)
93.7% PWE; MIAMI 34, Central Florida 10 (20-14 F)
85.6% PWE; MICHIGAN 34, Toledo 17 (10-13 F) X
60.9% PWE; Middle Tennessee 35, FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL 20 (21-31 F) X
82.0% PWE; MISSOURI 34, Oklahoma State 20 (23-28 F) X
69.4% PWE; NEVADA 30, New Mexico State 23 (45-48 F) X
84.8% PWE; NORTH CAROLINA 33, Notre Dame 17 (29-24 F)
92.5% PWE; NORTHERN ILLINOIS 36, Miami (OH) 13 (17-13 F)
64.5% PWE; NORTHWESTERN 28, Michigan State 23 (20-37 F) X
68.6% PWE; Ohio 28, KENT STATE 19 (26-19 F)
93.9% PWE; OHIO STATE 34, Purdue 10 (16-3 F)
54.9% PWE; Oklahoma 28, Texas 23 (35-45 F) X
89.1% PWE; OREGON (h) 36, UCLA 15 (31-24 F)
97.9% PWE; OREGON STATE 47, Washington State 3 (66-13 F)
71.1% PWE; Penn State 27, WISCONSIN 17 (48-7 F)
88.3% PWE; SAN JOSE STATE 34, Utah State 16 (30-7 F)
80.8% PWE; TCU 31, COLORADO STATE (h) 15 (13-7 F)
53.0% PWE; Temple 25, CENTRAL MICHIGAN 24 (14-24 F) X
71.5% PWE; TEXAS A&M 30, Kansas State 22 (30-44 F) X
85.4% PWE; TEXAS TECH 34, Nebraska 18 (37-31 F)
98.5% PWE; Tulsa 45, SMU 8 (37-31 F)
95.4% PWE; USC 40, Arizona State 14 (28-0 F)
99.0% PWE; Utah 40, WYOMING 7 (40-7 F)
78.1% PWE; UTEP 35, Tulane 23 (24-21 F)
98.1% PWE; Vanderbilt 37, MISSISSIPPI STATE 7 (14-17 F) X
81.8% PWE; WEST VIRGINIA 31, Syracuse 17 (17-6 F)

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