Tuesday, October 21, 2008

Week 9 FEI Forecasts

FEI Forecasts represent the expected Margin of Victory at the conclusion of Competitive Possessions in the game, calculated as a function of the current FEI rating of each team, the expected number of Competitive Possessions to be played, and the expected scoring pace of the game. The Projected Win Expectation (PWE) of the identified game winner is also provided.

Tuesday, October 21
71.2% PWE; TEMPLE 28, Ohio 20 (14-10 F)

Thursday, October 23
79.4% PWE; AIR FORCE 30, New Mexico 18 (23-10 F)
66.9% PWE; Auburn 26, WEST VIRGINIA 19 (17-34 F) X

Friday, October 24
89.8% PWE; Boise State 38, SAN JOSE STATE 16 (33-16 F)

Saturday, October 25
89.3% PWE; Alabama 33, TENNESSEE 12 (29-9 F)
69.7% PWE; ARIZONA STATE 30, Oregon 22 (20-54 F) X
86.8% PWE; ARMY 34, Louisiana Tech 16 (14-7 F)
98.2% PWE; BALL STATE 41, Eastern Michigan 10 (38-16 F)
82.7% PWE; BYU (h) 31, UNLV 16 (42-35 F)
93.7% PWE; CALIFORNIA (h) 37, UCLA 12 (41-20 F)
83.5% PWE; Central Michigan 37, TOLEDO 20 (24-23 F)
69.7% PWE; Colorado State 28, SAN DIEGO STATE 19 (38-34 F)
77.7% PWE; CONNECTICUT 29, Cincinnati 17 (40-16 F)
91.6% PWE; FLORIDA 35, Kentucky 14 (63-5 F)
87.4% PWE; Fresno State 34, UTAH STATE 14 (30-28 F)
73.1% PWE; Georgia 27, LSU 17 (52-38 F)
97.6% PWE; GEORGIA TECH 35, Virginia 6 (17-24 F) X
59.5% PWE; Illinois 25, WISCONSIN 21 (17-27 F) X
52.6% PWE; IOWA STATE 25, Texas A&M 23 (35-49 F) X
66.8% PWE; LOUISIANA MONROE 27, Florida Atlantic 21 (28-29 F) X
67.0% PWE; MARYLAND 26, North Carolina State 20 (27-24 F)
78.3% PWE; MIAMI (OH) 30, Kent State 18 (21-54 F) X
70.0% PWE; Michigan State 30, MICHIGAN 20 (35-21 F)
72.4% PWE; Minnesota 31, PURDUE 20 (17-6 F)
96.1% PWE; Mississippi 37, ARKANSAS 10 (23-21 F)
66.7% PWE; MISSISSIPPI STATE 26, Middle Tennessee 20 (31-22 F)
96.7% PWE; MISSOURI 38, Colorado 10 (58-0 F)
85.9% PWE; NAVY (h) 33, SMU 17 (34-7 F)
83.1% PWE; NEBRASKA 33, Baylor 17 (32-20 F)
55.1% PWE; Nevada 30, HAWAII 28 (31-38 F) X
74.1% PWE; New Mexico State 31, IDAHO 20 (14-20 F) X
63.6% PWE; NORTH CAROLINA 26, Boston College 21 (45-24 F)
77.6% PWE; NORTHERN ILLINOIS 31, Bowling Green 20 (16-13 F)
83.9% PWE; Northwestern 34, INDIANA 16 (19-21 F) X
88.7% PWE; Notre Dame 35, WASHINGTON 13 (33-7 F)
92.1% PWE; Oklahoma 37, KANSAS STATE 13 (58-35 F)
65.4% PWE; Penn State 23, OHIO STATE 16 (13-6 F)
95.6% PWE; PITTSBURGH 38, Rutgers 10 (34-54 F) X
67.0% PWE; South Florida 29, LOUISVILLE 21 (20-24 F) X
55.0% PWE; Southern Mississippi 26, MEMPHIS 24 (30-36 F) X
98.3% PWE; TCU 43, Wyoming 6 (54-7 F)
80.8% PWE; TEXAS 34, Oklahoma State 20 (28-24 F)
67.9% PWE; Texas Tech 31, KANSAS 22 (63-21 F)
94.3% PWE; Troy 37, NORTH TEXAS 10 (45-17 F)
70.0% PWE; TULANE 31, Rice 24 (17-42 F) X
78.2% PWE; USC 30, ARIZONA (h) 16 (17-10 F)
92.7% PWE; VANDERBILT 34, Duke 12 (7-10 F) X
68.3% PWE; Virginia Tech 27, FLORIDA STATE 17 (20-30 F) X
53.6% PWE; Wake Forest 22, MIAMI 21 (10-16 F) X

Sunday, October 26
90.3% PWE; TULSA 37, Central Florida 17 (49-19 F)

1 comment:

Wheell said...

Just divide by 2.