Thursday, September 17, 2009

Week 3 FEI Forecasts

FEI Forecasts represent the expected Margin of Victory at the conclusion of Competitive Possessions in the game, calculated as a function of the current FEI rating of each team, the projected number of Competitive Possessions to be played, and the projected scoring pace of the game. The Projected Win Expectation (PWE) of the identified game winner is also provided. Home teams are listed in all caps, or indicated with (h).

Week 3 Forecasts are based on the Week 2 FEI Ratings.

Thursday, September 17
60.3% PWE; Georgia Tech 29, MIAMI 24 (17-33 F) X

Friday, September 18
55.9% PWE; Boise State 25, FRESNO STATE 23 (51-34 F)

Saturday, September 19
73.5% PWE; Air Force 26, NEW MEXICO 14 (37-13 F)
72.4% PWE; AKRON 32, Indiana 24 (21-38 F) X
98.5% PWE; ALABAMA 47, North Texas 3 (53-7 F)
91.9% PWE; ARIZONA STATE 35, Louisiana Monroe 12 (38-14 F)
51.3% PWE; Ball State 21, ARMY 20 (17-24 F) X
52.3% PWE; Bowling Green 24, MARSHALL 23 (10-17 F) X
77.7% PWE; BYU 33, Florida State 21 (28-54 F) X
68.5% PWE; California 27, MINNESOTA 19 (35-21 F)
87.8% PWE; CENTRAL FLORIDA 31, Buffalo 12 (23-17 F)
67.2% PWE; CLEMSON 23, Boston College 17 (25-7 F)
52.1% PWE; Connecticut 26, BAYLOR 25 (30-22 F)
98.3% PWE; FLORIDA 40, Tennessee 3 (23-13 F)
52.2% PWE; Georgia 29, ARKANSAS 28 (52-41 F)
62.9% PWE; Hawaii 33, UNLV 28 (33-34 F) X
74.3% PWE; IOWA 27, Arizona 17 (27-17 F)
54.6% PWE; Iowa State 30, KENT STATE 29 (34-14 F)
98.2% PWE; KANSAS 44, Duke 7 (44-16 F)
72.9% PWE; Louisville 29, KENTUCKY 17 (27-31 F) X
97.9% PWE; LSU 48, Louisiana Lafayette 10 (31-3 F)
58.4% PWE; MARYLAND 27, Middle Tennessee 24 (31-32 F) X
98.2% PWE; MICHIGAN 45, Eastern Michigan 9 (45-17 F)
55.3% PWE; Nevada 30, COLORADO STATE 29 (20-35 F) X
53.7% PWE; NORTH CAROLINA 21, East Carolina 19 (31-17 F)
80.5% PWE; Northwestern 33, SYRACUSE 17 (34-37 F) X
80.1% PWE; NOTRE DAME 30, Michigan State 17 (33-30 F)
95.1% PWE; Ohio State 37, TOLEDO 10 (38-0 F)
94.1% PWE; OKLAHOMA 42, Tulsa 17 (45-0 F)
98.5% PWE; OKLAHOMA STATE 57, Rice 10 (41-24 F)
50.6% PWE; OREGON 24, Utah 23 (31-24 F)
51.4% PWE; OREGON STATE 28, Cincinnati 27 (18-28 F) X
98.5% PWE; PENN STATE 47, Temple 6 (31-6 F)
55.4% PWE; PITTSBURGH 27, Navy 24 (27-14 F)
68.0% PWE; PURDUE 23, Northern Illinois 17 (21-28 F) X
90.5% PWE; RUTGERS 37, Florida International 15 (23-15 F)
75.8% PWE; San Diego State 34, IDAHO 21 (20-34 F) X
67.1% PWE; SMU 28, WASHINGTON STATE (h) 20 (27-30 F) X
98.5% PWE; SOUTH CAROLINA 45, Florida Atlantic 0 (38-16 F)
82.5% PWE; SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI 31, Virginia 17 (37-34 F)
92.0% PWE; STANFORD 34, San Jose State 12 (42-17 F)
87.0% PWE; TEXAS 38, Texas Tech 20 (34-24 F)
95.1% PWE; TEXAS A&M 43, Utah State 17 (38-30 F)
52.5% PWE; UAB 30, TROY (h) 29 (14-27 F) X
81.8% PWE; UCLA 30, Kansas State 15 (23-9 F)
98.5% PWE; USC 47, WASHINGTON (h) 7 (13-16 F) X
79.0% PWE; UTEP 35, NEW MEXICO STATE (h) 20 (38-12 F)
97.8% PWE; VANDERBILT 37, Mississippi State 6 (3-15 F) X
96.9% PWE; VIRGINIA TECH 38, Nebraska 10 (16-15 F)
56.1% PWE; West Virginia 21, AUBURN 19 (30-41 F) X
75.5% PWE; WESTERN MICHIGAN 31, Miami (OH) 20 (48-26 F)
63.6% PWE; Wyoming 26, COLORADO 20 (0-24 F) X

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