Thursday, December 02, 2010

FEI Forecasts: Week 14 (Dec. 2 - 4)

FEI Forecasts represent the expected Margin of Victory at the conclusion of Competitive Possessions in the game, calculated as a function of the current FEI rating of each team, an adjustment for home field advantage, the projected number of Competitive Possessions to be played, and the projected scoring pace of the game. The Projected Win Expectation (PWE) of the identified game winner is also provided, a function of the current FEI rating of each team. Home teams are listed in all caps, or indicated with (h).

Thursday, December 2
57.3% PWE; ARIZONA 27, Arizona State 24 (29-30 F)

Friday, December 3
81.6% PWE; Illinois 30, FRESNO STATE 14 (23-25 F)
96.5% PWE; Northern Illinois 40, Miami (OH) 11 (21-26 F)

Saturday, December 4
73.8% PWE; Auburn 34, South Carolina 23 (56-17 F)
98.5% PWE; BOISE STATE 50, Utah State 6 (50-14 F)
80.7% PWE; CENTRAL FLORIDA (h) 31, SMU 17 (17-7 F)
85.2% PWE; FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL 30, Middle Tennessee 13 (27-28 F)
98.2% PWE; HAWAII (h) 42, UNLV 9 (59-21 F)
77.8% PWE; IDAHO 31, San Jose State 19 (26-23 F)
80.4% PWE; Nevada 36, LOUISIANA TECH 20 (35-17 F)
56.7% PWE; Oklahoma 24, Nebraska 22 (23-20 F)
84.0% PWE; Oregon 35, OREGON STATE 17 (37-20 F)
70.3% PWE; Pittsburgh 31, CINCINNATI 21 (28-10 F)
77.0% PWE; SOUTH FLORIDA 26, Connecticut 15 (16-19 F)
54.9% PWE; Troy 24, FLORIDA ATLANTIC 23 (44-7 F)
82.2% PWE; USC 33, UCLA (h) 16 (28-14 F)
68.4% PWE; Virginia Tech 30, FLORIDA STATE 23 (44-33 F)
63.7% PWE; Washington 30, WASHINGTON STATE 24 (35-28 F)
95.7% PWE; WEST VIRGINIA 33, Rutgers 6 (35-14 F)

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