Wednesday, January 14, 2009

Final FEI Ratings

Through games of January 8th. Only FBS games are considered. Click here for expanded FEI Ratings data, including weekly rankings, expanded records, offensive/defensive efficiency, and special teams and field position efficiency.

RankTeamW-LFEI
1Florida12-10.363
2USC12-10.287
3Oklahoma11-20.279
4Texas12-10.276
5Penn State10-20.253
6North Carolina7-50.229
7Mississippi8-40.218
8Alabama12-20.216
9Virginia Tech9-40.207
10Florida State7-40.205
11Boston College8-50.184
12Utah12-00.182
13Pittsburgh9-40.179
14Georgia Tech7-40.172
15Wake Forest8-50.171
16Texas Tech9-20.169
17Iowa8-40.167
18Ohio State9-30.166
19West Virginia8-40.156
20Rutgers7-50.150
21Clemson5-60.150
22TCU10-20.150
23Boise State11-10.143
24Georgia9-30.141
25Cincinnati10-30.131
26Connecticut7-50.115
27Oregon10-30.110
28North Carolina State5-70.107
29Missouri9-40.105
30South Florida7-50.104
31Miami6-60.103
32California9-40.103
33Oregon State9-40.099
34LSU7-50.096
35Ball State11-20.092
36Oklahoma State8-40.090
37Arizona8-50.086
38East Carolina9-50.086
39Navy7-50.083
40Tulsa10-30.081
41South Carolina6-60.076
42Vanderbilt7-60.066
43Virginia4-70.063
44Maryland7-50.058
45Michigan State9-40.056
46Notre Dame7-60.047
47Southern Mississippi7-60.044
48Northwestern8-40.040
49Houston7-50.040
50Bowling Green6-60.035
51Buffalo8-60.035
52Duke3-80.034
53Auburn4-70.027
54BYU9-30.025
55Rice10-30.018
56Illinois4-70.017
57Wisconsin6-60.014
58Tennessee5-70.009
59Nebraska9-40.009
60Kansas7-5-0.004
61Northern Illinois5-7-0.008
62Stanford5-7-0.014
63Temple5-7-0.016
64Air Force7-5-0.020
65Central Michigan7-5-0.023
66Purdue3-8-0.023
67Kentucky6-6-0.025
68Troy7-5-0.025
69Michigan3-9-0.034
70Marshall3-8-0.036
71Arizona State4-7-0.041
72Minnesota6-6-0.046
73Akron5-7-0.047
74Western Michigan8-4-0.048
75Baylor3-8-0.049
76Central Florida3-8-0.052
77Memphis5-7-0.053
78Arkansas4-7-0.054
79UTEP5-7-0.061
80Ohio3-8-0.062
81Nevada6-6-0.062
82Louisville4-7-0.080
83Fresno State7-6-0.080
84New Mexico4-8-0.084
85Colorado State6-6-0.096
86Colorado4-7-0.101
87Mississippi State3-8-0.103
88Syracuse2-9-0.103
89Kent State3-8-0.107
90UCLA4-8-0.113
91Kansas State4-7-0.122
92UNLV5-7-0.125
93Middle Tennessee5-7-0.128
94UAB3-8-0.134
95Louisiana Lafayette6-6-0.134
96Arkansas State5-6-0.140
97Florida Atlantic7-6-0.142
98Eastern Michigan2-9-0.144
99Louisiana Tech7-5-0.145
100Army3-8-0.145
101Miami (OH)1-10-0.152
102Toledo3-9-0.155
103San Jose State5-6-0.156
104Iowa State1-10-0.159
105Louisiana Monroe3-8-0.160
106Indiana2-9-0.165
107SMU0-11-0.169
108Hawaii6-7-0.170
109Wyoming3-8-0.171
110Utah State3-9-0.181
111Florida International5-7-0.185
112Texas A&M4-8-0.188
113Western Kentucky0-10-0.189
114Tulane2-10-0.210
115New Mexico State2-9-0.224
116San Diego State2-9-0.233
117Washington0-12-0.254
118Washington State1-11-0.307
119Idaho1-10-0.313
120North Texas1-11-0.345

Thursday, December 18, 2008

FEI Bowl Forecasts

FEI Forecasts represent the expected Margin of Victory at the conclusion of Competitive Possessions in the game, calculated as a function of the current FEI rating of each team, the projected number of Competitive Possessions to be played, and the projected scoring pace of the game. The Projected Win Expectation (PWE) of the identified game winner is also provided.

Saturday, December 20
64.6% PWE; Arizona 37, BYU 31 (31-21 F)
60.0% PWE; Fresno State 31, Colorado State 27 (35-40 F) X
77.0% PWE; South Florida 33, Memphis 20 (41-14 F)
66.9% PWE; Wake Forest 28, Navy 21 (29-19 F)

Sunday, December 21
70.8% PWE; Southern Mississippi 34, Troy 24 (30-27 F)

Tuesday, December 23
55.2% PWE; Boise State 23, TCU 21 (16-17 F) X

Wednesday, December 24
88.1% PWE; Notre Dame 30, Hawaii 10 (49-21 F)

Friday, December 26
85.5% PWE; Central Michigan 40, Florida Atlantic 21 (21-24 F) X

Saturday, December 27
81.9% PWE; Florida State 30, Wisconsin 14 (42-13 F)
60.9% PWE; Miami 28, California 24 (17-24 F) X
77.4% PWE; North Carolina 27, West Virginia 14 (30-31 F) X

Sunday, December 28
88.0% PWE; Northern Illinois 31, Louisiana Tech 13 (10-17 F) X

Monday, December 29
62.1% PWE; Missouri 35, Northwestern 31 (30-23 F)
58.3% PWE; Rutgers 28, North Carolina State 24 (29-23 F)

Tuesday, December 30
80.3% PWE; Maryland 40, Nevada 24 (42-35 F)
53.9% PWE; Oklahoma State 40, Oregon 38 (31-42 F) X
63.2% PWE; Western Michigan 42, Rice 37 (14-38 F) X

Wednesday, December 31
86.1% PWE; Boston College 27, Vanderbilt 9 (14-16 F) X
90.9% PWE; Georgia Tech 38, LSU 17 (3-38 F) X
66.3% PWE; Houston 35, Air Force 28 (34-28 F)
56.1% PWE; Minnesota 29, Kansas 27 (21-42 F) X
77.6% PWE; Pittsburgh 38, Oregon State 24 (0-3 F) X

Thursday, January 1
86.9% PWE; Clemson 35, Nebraska 17 (21-26 F) X
61.5% PWE; Georgia 34, Michigan State 30 (24-12 F)
72.9% PWE; Iowa 24, South Carolina 13 (31-10 F)
57.4% PWE; Penn State 28, USC 26 (24-38 F) X
68.0% PWE; Virginia Tech 24, Cincinnati 17 (20-7 F)

Friday, January 2
69.8% PWE; Alabama 30, Utah 21 (17-31 F) X
81.9% PWE; East Carolina 27, Kentucky 11 (19-25 F) X
53.3% PWE; Texas Tech 31, Mississippi 30 (34-47 F) X

Saturday, January 3
65.1% PWE; Connecticut 27, Buffalo 21 (38-20 F)

Monday, January 5
68.5% PWE; Texas 28, Ohio State 21 (24-21 F)

Tuesday, January 6
75.1% PWE; Ball State 40, Tulsa 28 (13-45 F) X

Thursday, January 8
63.0% PWE; Florida 35, Oklahoma 30 (24-14 F)

Wednesday, December 10, 2008

Week 15 FEI Ratings

Through games of December 6th. Only FBS games are considered. Click here for expanded FEI Ratings data, including weekly rankings, expanded records, offensive/defensive efficiency, and special teams and field position efficiency.

RankTeamW-LFEI
1Florida11-10.333
2Oklahoma11-10.290
3Penn State10-10.283
4Texas11-10.263
5USC11-10.262
6North Carolina7-40.251
7Georgia Tech7-30.236
8Alabama12-10.213
9Virginia Tech8-40.211
10Florida State6-40.206
11Boston College8-40.201
12Ohio State9-20.192
13Pittsburgh9-30.188
14Texas Tech9-10.183
15Mississippi7-40.174
16Clemson5-50.174
17Iowa7-40.174
18Wake Forest7-50.161
19Ball State11-10.150
20Cincinnati10-20.142
21Rutgers6-50.141
22Boise State11-00.141
23Utah11-00.134
24West Virginia7-40.128
25TCU9-20.127
26Georgia8-30.117
27North Carolina State5-60.116
28Miami6-50.116
29Connecticut6-50.115
30Missouri8-40.101
31Navy7-40.098
32Oklahoma State8-30.093
33East Carolina9-40.091
34South Florida6-50.088
35Oregon9-30.083
36California8-40.081
37Michigan State9-30.080
38South Carolina6-50.077
39Virginia4-70.077
40Arizona7-50.070
41Maryland6-50.068
42Oregon State8-40.064
43Northwestern8-30.061
44Buffalo8-50.061
45Wisconsin6-50.057
46Bowling Green6-60.052
47Notre Dame6-60.044
48Southern Mississippi6-60.043
49Tulsa9-30.041
50Duke3-80.040
51Illinois4-70.037
52Houston6-50.026
53Western Michigan8-30.026
54Northern Illinois5-60.025
55Vanderbilt6-60.025
56LSU6-50.023
57BYU9-20.019
58Central Michigan7-40.017
59Auburn4-70.013
60Temple5-70.003
61Tennessee5-70.000
62Purdue3-8-0.008
63Minnesota6-5-0.009
64Nebraska8-4-0.009
65Michigan3-9-0.017
66Rice9-3-0.019
67Stanford5-7-0.025
68Kansas6-5-0.026
69Akron5-7-0.030
70Memphis5-6-0.032
71Air Force7-4-0.034
72Marshall3-8-0.037
73Troy7-4-0.042
74Ohio3-8-0.043
75Baylor3-8-0.049
76Arizona State4-7-0.049
77Central Florida3-8-0.051
78Kentucky5-6-0.059
79UTEP5-7-0.064
80Nevada6-5-0.072
81Arkansas4-7-0.076
82Fresno State7-5-0.079
83Louisville4-7-0.082
84Kent State3-8-0.091
85New Mexico4-8-0.092
86Syracuse2-9-0.101
87Colorado4-7-0.108
88Colorado State5-6-0.110
89Mississippi State3-8-0.118
90UCLA4-8-0.120
91Kansas State4-7-0.124
92Eastern Michigan2-9-0.124
93UNLV5-7-0.132
94Middle Tennessee5-7-0.134
95UAB3-8-0.136
96Louisiana Lafayette6-6-0.136
97Toledo3-9-0.138
98Miami (OH)1-10-0.141
99Arkansas State5-6-0.143
100Army3-8-0.143
101Hawaii6-6-0.147
102Indiana2-9-0.150
103Florida Atlantic6-6-0.155
104San Jose State5-6-0.157
105Iowa State1-10-0.159
106Louisiana Tech6-5-0.165
107Louisiana Monroe3-8-0.168
108SMU0-11-0.171
109Wyoming3-8-0.174
110Utah State3-9-0.182
111Florida International5-7-0.188
112Texas A&M4-8-0.188
113Western Kentucky0-10-0.190
114Tulane2-10-0.216
115New Mexico State2-9-0.225
116San Diego State2-9-0.237
117Washington0-12-0.257
118Washington State1-11-0.309
119Idaho1-10-0.310
120North Texas1-11-0.351

Wednesday, December 03, 2008

Week 15 FEI Forecasts

FEI Forecasts represent the expected Margin of Victory at the conclusion of Competitive Possessions in the game, calculated as a function of the current FEI rating of each team, the projected number of Competitive Possessions to be played, and the projected scoring pace of the game. The Projected Win Expectation (PWE) of the identified game winner is also provided.

Wednesday, December 3
50.1% PWE; LOUISIANA LAFAYETTE 19, Middle Tennessee 18 (42-28 F)

Thursday, December 4
85.3% PWE; RUTGERS 37, Louisville 20 (63-14 F)

Friday, December 5
73.8% PWE; Ball State 35, Buffalo 21 (24-42 F) X

Saturday, December 6
79.5% PWE; ARIZONA 34, Arizona State 20 (31-10 F)
52.2% PWE; Boston College 31, Virginia Tech 28 (12-30 F) X
98.2% PWE; CALIFORNIA 40, Washington 3 (48-7 F)
97.5% PWE; Cincinnati 42, HAWAII 9 (29-24 F)
54.3% PWE; East Carolina 29, TULSA 28 (27-24 F)
64.0% PWE; Florida 40, Alabama 31 (31-20 F)
56.4% PWE; FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL 17, Western Kentucky 14 (27-3 F)
86.0% PWE; Navy 34, Army 13 (34-0 F)
72.1% PWE; Oklahoma 42, Missouri 28 (62-21 F)
52.9% PWE; Pittsburgh 34, CONNECTICUT 33 (34-10 F)
71.9% PWE; TROY 23, Arkansas State 14 (35-9 F)
98.5% PWE; USC 48, UCLA (h) 10 (28-7 F)
66.8% PWE; WEST VIRGINIA 33, South Florida 27 (13-7 F)

Week 14 FEI Ratings

Through games of November 29th. Only FBS games are considered. Click here for expanded FEI Ratings data, including weekly rankings, expanded records, offensive/defensive efficiency, and special teams and field position efficiency.
RankTeamW-LFEI
1Florida10-10.323
2Penn State10-10.282
3Oklahoma10-10.277
4USC10-10.271
5Texas11-10.269
6North Carolina7-40.250
7Georgia Tech7-30.234
8Alabama12-00.229
9Boston College8-30.213
10Florida State6-40.200
11Ohio State9-20.188
12Texas Tech9-10.186
13Virginia Tech7-40.179
14Pittsburgh8-30.176
15Clemson5-50.175
16Mississippi7-40.174
17Iowa7-40.171
18Ball State11-00.171
19Cincinnati9-20.161
20Wake Forest7-50.160
21Missouri8-30.140
22Connecticut6-40.139
23Boise State11-00.133
24Utah11-00.131
25West Virginia6-40.129
26Rutgers5-50.125
27TCU9-20.124
28Georgia8-30.119
29North Carolina State5-60.114
30Miami6-50.110
31South Florida6-40.103
32Oklahoma State8-30.097
33Navy6-40.089
34Oregon9-30.082
35California7-40.078
36South Carolina6-50.078
37East Carolina8-40.078
38Michigan State9-30.077
39Virginia4-70.076
40Maryland6-50.067
41Oregon State8-40.062
42Arizona6-50.059
43Northwestern8-30.059
44Wisconsin6-50.054
45Bowling Green6-60.045
46Notre Dame6-60.044
47Southern Mississippi6-60.042
48Duke3-80.037
49Illinois4-70.036
50Tulsa9-20.034
51Vanderbilt6-60.026
52Buffalo7-50.023
53Northern Illinois5-60.021
54Houston6-50.021
55LSU6-50.021
56Western Michigan8-30.017
57BYU9-20.015
58Auburn4-70.013
59Central Michigan7-40.008
60Tennessee5-70.002
61Temple5-70.000
62Nebraska8-4-0.007
63Louisville4-6-0.008
64Purdue3-8-0.010
65Minnesota6-5-0.012
66Kansas6-5-0.019
67Michigan3-9-0.019
68Rice9-3-0.020
69Memphis5-6-0.025
70Stanford5-7-0.026
71Akron5-7-0.031
72Arizona State4-6-0.034
73Air Force7-4-0.036
74Marshall3-8-0.037
75Kentucky5-6-0.044
76Baylor3-8-0.046
77Ohio3-8-0.049
78Central Florida3-8-0.051
79Troy6-4-0.059
80UTEP5-7-0.070
81Arkansas4-7-0.076
82Nevada6-5-0.078
83Fresno State7-5-0.089
84Syracuse2-9-0.091
85New Mexico4-8-0.096
86Kent State3-8-0.097
87Colorado4-7-0.104
88Arkansas State5-5-0.108
89Colorado State5-6-0.112
90Middle Tennessee5-6-0.115
91Mississippi State3-8-0.115
92Kansas State4-7-0.117
93UCLA4-7-0.122
94Eastern Michigan2-9-0.126
95Army3-7-0.131
96UNLV5-7-0.133
97UAB3-8-0.137
98Louisiana Lafayette5-6-0.141
99Toledo3-9-0.141
100Miami (OH)1-10-0.144
101Indiana2-9-0.150
102Florida Atlantic6-6-0.153
103Iowa State1-10-0.157
104San Jose State5-6-0.166
105Louisiana Monroe3-8-0.167
106SMU0-11-0.172
107Louisiana Tech6-5-0.172
108Wyoming3-8-0.176
109Hawaii6-5-0.180
110Western Kentucky0-9-0.181
111Texas A&M4-8-0.184
112Florida International4-7-0.186
113Utah State3-9-0.189
114Tulane2-10-0.216
115New Mexico State2-9-0.232
116San Diego State2-9-0.240
117Washington0-11-0.241
118Washington State1-11-0.309
119Idaho1-10-0.316
120North Texas1-11-0.349

Wednesday, November 26, 2008

Week 13 FEI Ratings

Through games of November 23rd. Only FBS games are considered. Click here for expanded FEI Ratings data, including weekly rankings, expanded records, offensive/defensive efficiency, and special teams and field position efficiency.

RankTeamW-LFEI
1Florida9-10.314
2Penn State10-10.284
3Texas10-10.277
4Oklahoma9-10.273
5USC9-10.259
6North Carolina6-40.249
7Georgia Tech6-30.228
8Alabama11-00.227
9Florida State6-30.221
10Boston College7-30.214
11Texas Tech8-10.195
12Ohio State9-20.189
13Mississippi6-40.176
14Virginia Tech6-40.174
15Iowa7-40.171
16Ball State10-00.163
17Pittsburgh7-30.160
18Missouri8-20.158
19Cincinnati8-20.157
20Clemson4-50.149
21Wake Forest6-50.147
22Georgia8-20.131
23Connecticut6-40.130
24Utah11-00.129
25West Virginia6-30.125
26Boise State10-00.124
27TCU9-20.120
28Rutgers5-50.118
29Miami6-40.116
30Oklahoma State8-20.109
31South Carolina6-40.094
32South Florida6-40.092
33North Carolina State4-60.087
34Oregon State8-30.079
35Michigan State9-30.079
36California7-40.069
37Wisconsin6-50.059
38Virginia4-60.059
39Northwestern8-30.058
40Notre Dame6-50.058
41Arizona6-50.057
42East Carolina7-40.057
43Northern Illinois5-50.052
44Maryland6-40.049
45Navy5-40.047
46Oregon8-30.046
47Western Michigan8-20.046
48Auburn4-60.040
49Southern Mississippi5-60.040
50Buffalo7-40.040
51Illinois4-70.039
52Bowling Green5-60.038
53Vanderbilt6-50.036
54Tulsa8-20.034
55Houston6-40.034
56LSU6-40.033
57Central Michigan7-30.028
58Duke3-70.022
59BYU9-20.010
60Nebraska7-40.001
61Tennessee4-7-0.007
62Minnesota6-5-0.007
63Purdue3-8-0.008
64Louisville4-6-0.012
65Kentucky5-5-0.014
66Michigan3-9-0.015
67Temple4-7-0.016
68Akron5-6-0.018
69Central Florida3-7-0.028
70Stanford5-7-0.028
71UTEP5-6-0.039
72Rice8-3-0.039
73Air Force7-4-0.040
74Memphis4-6-0.041
75Arizona State3-6-0.043
76Marshall3-7-0.049
77Baylor3-7-0.052
78Fresno State7-4-0.055
79Kansas5-5-0.056
80Ohio2-8-0.058
81Troy6-4-0.061
82Nevada5-5-0.061
83Arkansas3-7-0.079
84Syracuse2-8-0.085
85Mississippi State3-7-0.091
86New Mexico4-8-0.093
87Arkansas State4-5-0.094
88Colorado State5-6-0.114
89Colorado4-6-0.115
90Kent State2-8-0.115
91Middle Tennessee5-6-0.116
92UCLA4-6-0.121
93Kansas State4-7-0.121
94Toledo3-8-0.128
95Army3-7-0.132
96Miami (OH)1-9-0.135
97Eastern Michigan1-9-0.137
98UNLV5-7-0.137
99Louisiana Lafayette5-6-0.143
100Indiana2-9-0.149
101Florida Atlantic5-6-0.150
102San Jose State5-6-0.157
103Hawaii5-5-0.157
104Iowa State1-10-0.161
105UAB2-8-0.164
106Texas A&M4-7-0.166
107Louisiana Monroe3-8-0.168
108New Mexico State2-8-0.175
109SMU0-10-0.176
110Louisiana Tech6-4-0.178
111Wyoming3-8-0.180
112Western Kentucky0-9-0.181
113Florida International4-6-0.200
114Tulane2-9-0.201
115Utah State2-9-0.213
116San Diego State2-9-0.240
117Washington0-11-0.243
118Idaho1-10-0.309
119Washington State1-10-0.323
120North Texas1-10-0.374

Tuesday, November 25, 2008

Week 14 FEI Forecasts

FEI Forecasts represent the expected Margin of Victory at the conclusion of Competitive Possessions in the game, calculated as a function of the current FEI rating of each team, the projected number of Competitive Possessions to be played, and the projected scoring pace of the game. The Projected Win Expectation (PWE) of the identified game winner is also provided.

Tuesday, November 25
83.1% PWE; BALL STATE 37, Western Michigan 21 (45-22 F)
60.6% PWE; NORTHERN ILLINOIS 27, Navy 23 (0-16 F) X

Thursday, November 27
99.5% PWE; TEXAS 52, Texas A&M 6 (49-9 F)

Friday, November 28
77.0% PWE; ARIZONA STATE (h) 29, UCLA 17 (34-9 F)
91.4% PWE; BOISE STATE 38, Fresno State 16 (61-10 F)
77.2% PWE; Bowling Green 30, TOLEDO 17 (38-10 F)
88.5% PWE; BUFFALO 31, Kent State 12 (21-24 F) X
77.0% PWE; Central Michigan 30, EASTERN MICHIGAN 17 (52-56 F) X
79.8% PWE; EAST CAROLINA (h) 31, UTEP 17 (53-21 F)
67.4% PWE; LSU 28, ARKANSAS (h) 20 (30-31 F) X
97.8% PWE; MISSISSIPPI 40, Mississippi State 10 (45-0 F)
82.9% PWE; NEBRASKA 30, Colorado 14 (40-31 F)
61.1% PWE; Ohio 22, MIAMI (OH) 17 (41-26 F)
69.2% PWE; PITTSBURGH 35, West Virginia 28 (19-15 F)
59.3% PWE; TEMPLE 24, Akron 21 (27-6 F)

Saturday, November 29
92.2% PWE; ALABAMA 37, Auburn 16 (36-0 F)
93.4% PWE; Arkansas State 28, NORTH TEXAS 3 (33-28 F)
89.7% PWE; BOSTON COLLEGE 38, Maryland 17 (28-21 F)
85.9% PWE; CENTRAL FLORIDA (h) 30, UAB 13 (0-15 F) X
96.8% PWE; CINCINNATI 39, Syracuse 10 (30-10 F)
73.0% PWE; CLEMSON 31, South Carolina 23 (31-14 F)
63.9% PWE; Florida 39, FLORIDA STATE 33 (45-15 F)
72.2% PWE; FLORIDA ATLANTIC 20, Florida International 12 (57-50 F)
64.7% PWE; Georgia Tech 34, GEORGIA 27 (45-42 F)
89.8% PWE; HAWAII 30, Washington State 8 (24-10 F)
60.3% PWE; Houston 28, RICE 24 (42-56 F) X
89.1% PWE; MEMPHIS 30, Tulane 10 (45-6 F)
50.7% PWE; Miami 25, NORTH CAROLINA STATE 24 (28-38 F) X
85.0% PWE; Missouri 40, Kansas 17 (37-40 F) X
68.2% PWE; Nevada 25, LOUISIANA TECH 16 (35-31 F)
53.1% PWE; New Mexico State 19, UTAH STATE 18 (2-47 F) X
87.0% PWE; North Carolina 37, DUKE 18 (28-20 F)
76.9% PWE; Oklahoma 40, OKLAHOMA STATE 27 (61-41 F)
68.5% PWE; OREGON STATE 34, Oregon 27 (38-65 F) X
85.5% PWE; Southern Mississippi 30, SMU 11 (28-12 F)
61.3% PWE; TENNESSEE 24, Kentucky 20 (28-10 F)
97.0% PWE; TEXAS TECH 45, Baylor 17 (35-28 F)
62.2% PWE; Tulsa 28, MARSHALL 23 (38-35 F)
93.8% PWE; USC 44, Notre Dame 20 (38-3 F)
82.8% PWE; VIRGINIA TECH 31, Virginia 17 (17-14 F)
82.1% PWE; WAKE FOREST 35, Vanderbilt 20 (23-10 F)

Wednesday, November 19, 2008

Week 12 FEI Ratings

Through games of November 8th. Only FBS games are considered. Click here for expanded FEI Ratings data, including weekly rankings, expanded records, offensive/defensive efficiency, and special teams and field position efficiency.

RankTeamW-LFEI
1Florida9-10.309
2North Carolina6-30.290
3Penn State9-10.284
4Texas10-10.266
5USC9-10.266
6Texas Tech8-00.258
7Oklahoma8-10.217
8Alabama11-00.212
9Ohio State8-20.210
10Georgia Tech5-30.197
11Boston College6-30.193
12Virginia Tech5-40.189
13Florida State5-30.188
14Ball State9-00.169
15Iowa6-40.159
16Mississippi5-40.159
17Pittsburgh7-20.158
18Missouri8-20.157
19Miami6-30.154
20Wake Forest6-40.138
21Michigan State9-20.134
22Connecticut6-30.133
23Utah10-00.129
24Boise State9-00.127
25Georgia8-20.121
26Cincinnati7-20.120
27Clemson3-50.118
28Oklahoma State8-20.110
29West Virginia5-30.110
30TCU8-20.105
31Rutgers4-50.099
32Maryland6-30.088
33Wisconsin6-50.086
34Virginia4-50.079
35Notre Dame6-40.079
36Illinois4-60.076
37California6-40.069
38South Carolina6-40.068
39East Carolina6-40.066
40Oregon State7-30.064
41Minnesota6-40.063
42Northwestern7-30.060
43Navy5-40.056
44Arizona6-40.054
45Bowling Green5-50.050
46Western Michigan8-20.047
47Oregon8-30.045
48South Florida5-40.042
49Southern Mississippi5-60.039
50Houston5-40.039
51Northern Illinois4-50.038
52Vanderbilt6-40.037
53LSU6-30.037
54Auburn4-60.032
55BYU9-10.030
56Buffalo6-40.028
57Central Michigan7-20.027
58Michigan3-80.023
59Duke3-60.016
60North Carolina State3-60.016
61Air Force7-30.014
62Tulsa7-20.013
63Temple3-70.003
64Nebraska7-4-0.003
65Akron5-5-0.012
66Purdue2-8-0.019
67Stanford5-6-0.019
68Kentucky5-5-0.021
69Louisville4-5-0.022
70Marshall3-6-0.033
71Tennessee3-7-0.037
72Central Florida2-7-0.040
73Arizona State3-6-0.041
74Memphis4-5-0.045
75UTEP5-5-0.051
76Baylor3-7-0.054
77Rice7-3-0.059
78Kansas5-5-0.059
79Ohio1-8-0.060
80Fresno State6-4-0.069
81Kent State2-7-0.078
82Nevada5-4-0.081
83Troy5-4-0.088
84Indiana2-8-0.092
85New Mexico4-8-0.093
86Arkansas State3-5-0.094
87Mississippi State2-7-0.096
88Arkansas3-6-0.096
89Army3-6-0.105
90Colorado State4-6-0.107
91Louisiana Lafayette5-5-0.108
92UNLV5-6-0.112
93Syracuse1-8-0.114
94Kansas State3-7-0.115
95Middle Tennessee4-6-0.116
96Colorado4-6-0.116
97Miami (OH)1-8-0.116
98UCLA4-6-0.125
99Toledo2-8-0.135
100Florida Atlantic5-5-0.141
101Eastern Michigan1-8-0.147
102Iowa State1-9-0.158
103Texas A&M4-7-0.162
104Louisiana Monroe2-8-0.165
105San Jose State5-5-0.171
106Hawaii4-5-0.175
107SMU0-10-0.178
108Western Kentucky0-9-0.178
109Tulane2-8-0.182
110Louisiana Tech5-4-0.183
111Wyoming3-7-0.185
112UAB2-7-0.185
113New Mexico State2-7-0.191
114Florida International4-5-0.215
115Utah State2-9-0.216
116Washington0-10-0.250
117San Diego State1-9-0.254
118Idaho1-9-0.310
119Washington State0-10-0.317
120North Texas1-9-0.374

Tuesday, November 18, 2008

Week 13 FEI Forecasts

FEI Forecasts represent the expected Margin of Victory at the conclusion of Competitive Possessions in the game, calculated as a function of the current FEI rating of each team, the projected number of Competitive Possessions to be played, and the projected scoring pace of the game. The Projected Win Expectation (PWE) of the identified game winner is also provided.

Tuesday, November 18
68.1% PWE; Northern Illinois 28, KENT STATE 20 (42-14 F)

Wednesday, November 19
72.9% PWE; Ball State 38, CENTRAL MICHIGAN 27 (31-24 F)

Thursday, November 20
70.7% PWE; GEORGIA TECH 31, Miami 23 (41-23 F)

Friday, November 21
65.9% PWE; BOWLING GREEN 28, Buffalo 23 (34-40 F) X
65.5% PWE; Fresno State 24, SAN JOSE STATE 17 (24-10 F)
52.0% PWE; TOLEDO 20, Miami (OH) 19 (42-14 F)

Saturday, November 22
55.2% PWE; Akron 24, OHIO 22 (42-49 F) X
54.8% PWE; ARIZONA 30, Oregon State 27 (17-19 F) X
71.6% PWE; ARKANSAS STATE 22, Florida Atlantic 14 (28-14 F)
84.2% PWE; Boise State 35, NEVADA 17 (41-34 F)
56.8% PWE; Boston College 31, WAKE FOREST 28 (24-21 F)
78.8% PWE; CALIFORNIA 33, Stanford 20 (37-16 F)
53.3% PWE; Clemson 28, VIRGINIA 27 (13-3 F)
61.1% PWE; Colorado State 21, WYOMING 17 (31-20 F)
90.2% PWE; East Carolina 33, UAB 11 (17-13 F)
65.4% PWE; Florida State 31, MARYLAND 24 (37-3 F)
85.7% PWE; HAWAII 27, Idaho 10 (49-17 F)
79.0% PWE; HOUSTON (h) 33, UTEP 20 (42-37 F)
64.5% PWE; Iowa 30, MINNESOTA 24 (55-0 F)
70.8% PWE; KANSAS STATE 23, Iowa State 15 (38-30 F)
55.7% PWE; Louisiana Monroe 17, FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL 15 (31-27 F)
56.4% PWE; MEMPHIS 24, Central Florida 21 (21-28 F) X
97.5% PWE; MIDDLE TENNESSEE 30, North Texas 0 (52-13 F)
69.3% PWE; Mississippi 31, LSU 22 (31-13 F)
58.5% PWE; MISSISSIPPI STATE 23, Arkansas 20 (31-28 F)
55.6% PWE; NEW MEXICO STATE 20, Louisiana Tech 17 (31-35 F) X
98.0% PWE; NORTH CAROLINA 45, North Carolina State 13 (10-41 F) X
52.6% PWE; NORTHWESTERN 30, Illinois 28 (27-10 F)
92.9% PWE; NOTRE DAME 35, Syracuse 12 (23-24 F) X
92.4% PWE; OHIO STATE 40, Michigan 17 (42-7 F)
87.8% PWE; PENN STATE 42, Michigan State 23 (49-18 F)
53.1% PWE; Pittsburgh 31, CINCINNATI 30 (21-28 F) X
76.3% PWE; PURDUE 28, Indiana 17 (62-10 F)
50.1% PWE; RICE 25, Marshall 24 (35-10 F)
93.9% PWE; RUTGERS 38, Army 13 (30-3 F)
79.0% PWE; TCU 33, Air Force 21 (44-10 F)
87.7% PWE; TEMPLE 30, Eastern Michigan 12 (55-52 F)
53.6% PWE; Texas Tech 39, OKLAHOMA 38 (21-65 F) X
65.2% PWE; TROY 22, Louisiana Lafayette 17 (48-3 F)
93.1% PWE; TULSA 35, Tulane 12 (56-7 F)
72.9% PWE; UNLV 23, SAN DIEGO STATE (h) 12 (21-42 F) X
80.3% PWE; UTAH (h) 33, BYU 20 (48-24 F)
76.4% PWE; VANDERBILT 30, Tennessee 19 (10-20 F) X
90.7% PWE; VIRGINIA TECH 35, Duke 14 (14-3 F)
59.2% PWE; Washington 19, WASHINGTON STATE 15 (13-16 F) X
71.2% PWE; West Virginia 31, LOUISVILLE 21 (35-21 F)

Sunday, November 23
63.4% PWE; Connecticut 30, SOUTH FLORIDA 24 (13-17 F) X

Wednesday, November 12, 2008

Week 11 FEI Ratings

Through games of November 8th. Only FBS games are considered. Click here for expanded FEI Ratings data, including weekly rankings, expanded records, offensive/defensive efficiency, and special teams and field position efficiency.
RankTeamW-LFEI
1Florida8-10.310
2Penn State8-10.292
3North Carolina6-20.290
4Texas9-10.274
5Texas Tech8-00.270
6USC8-10.260
7Alabama10-00.224
8Oklahoma8-10.223
9Florida State5-20.196
10Ohio State7-20.190
11Georgia Tech5-30.187
12Virginia Tech5-30.182
13Ball State8-00.176
14Iowa5-40.174
15Pittsburgh7-20.164
16Missouri7-20.161
17Mississippi4-40.159
18Wake Forest6-30.143
19Boston College5-30.142
20Miami5-30.141
21Connecticut5-30.128
22Michigan State9-20.127
23Georgia7-20.125
24Boise State8-00.124
25Utah9-00.124
26Cincinnati6-20.121
27Oklahoma State7-20.109
28West Virginia5-30.106
29South Carolina6-30.105
30TCU8-20.102
31Illinois4-50.100
32East Carolina6-30.091
33Tulsa7-10.091
34Wisconsin5-50.084
35South Florida5-30.083
36Clemson2-50.074
37Virginia4-50.070
38California6-30.066
39Rutgers3-50.065
40Arizona6-30.060
41Navy5-30.060
42Notre Dame5-40.060
43LSU5-30.059
44Minnesota6-30.055
45Northwestern6-30.050
46Western Michigan7-20.049
47Duke3-50.049
48Bowling Green5-50.046
49Vanderbilt5-40.040
50Northern Illinois4-40.038
51Oregon State6-30.037
52Auburn4-50.034
53Oregon7-30.022
54Air Force7-20.022
55Michigan3-70.021
56Maryland5-30.021
57Southern Mississippi4-60.019
58Buffalo5-40.018
59Temple3-60.003
60Central Michigan6-20.001
61BYU8-1-0.003
62North Carolina State2-6-0.004
63Houston4-4-0.007
64Nebraska6-4-0.008
65Kentucky5-4-0.014
66Louisville4-4-0.015
67Stanford5-5-0.018
68Akron5-4-0.018
69Kansas5-4-0.028
70Marshall3-5-0.031
71Tennessee3-7-0.037
72Arizona State2-6-0.039
73Memphis4-5-0.040
74Purdue2-7-0.040
75Rice7-3-0.046
76Central Florida1-7-0.051
77UTEP4-5-0.056
78Ohio1-8-0.065
79Fresno State5-4-0.068
80Arkansas3-6-0.071
81New Mexico4-7-0.072
82Baylor2-7-0.073
83Louisiana Lafayette5-4-0.078
84Arkansas State3-5-0.078
85Kent State1-7-0.088
86Nevada4-4-0.090
87Indiana2-7-0.092
88Kansas State3-6-0.093
89Army3-6-0.096
90Mississippi State2-6-0.096
91Syracuse1-7-0.106
92UNLV4-6-0.107
93Troy5-3-0.107
94Colorado4-5-0.116
95Louisiana Monroe2-7-0.117
96Texas A&M4-6-0.119
97Miami (OH)1-7-0.121
98Middle Tennessee3-6-0.122
99Colorado State3-6-0.131
100UCLA3-6-0.134
101Toledo2-7-0.136
102Iowa State1-8-0.146
103Eastern Michigan1-8-0.150
104SMU0-9-0.154
105Florida Atlantic4-5-0.155
106Tulane2-7-0.157
107San Jose State5-4-0.166
108Louisiana Tech4-4-0.167
109Hawaii4-5-0.179
110Western Kentucky0-8-0.182
111Wyoming3-6-0.195
112UAB1-7-0.196
113Florida International4-5-0.205
114New Mexico State2-6-0.208
115Utah State2-8-0.230
116San Diego State1-8-0.244
117Washington0-9-0.251
118Idaho1-8-0.310
119Washington State0-9-0.325
120North Texas1-9-0.365