Final FEI Ratings

Through games of January 8th. Only FBS games are considered. Click here for expanded FEI Ratings data, including weekly rankings, expanded records, offensive/defensive efficiency, and special teams and field position efficiency.

Rank	Team	W-L	FEI
1	Florida	12-1	0.363
2	USC	12-1	0.287
3	Oklahoma	11-2	0.279
4	Texas	12-1	0.276
5	Penn State	10-2	0.253
6	North Carolina	7-5	0.229
7	Mississippi	8-4	0.218
8	Alabama	12-2	0.216
9	Virginia Tech	9-4	0.207
10	Florida State	7-4	0.205
11	Boston College	8-5	0.184
12	Utah	12-0	0.182
13	Pittsburgh	9-4	0.179
14	Georgia Tech	7-4	0.172
15	Wake Forest	8-5	0.171
16	Texas Tech	9-2	0.169
17	Iowa	8-4	0.167
18	Ohio State	9-3	0.166
19	West Virginia	8-4	0.156
20	Rutgers	7-5	0.150
21	Clemson	5-6	0.150
22	TCU	10-2	0.150
23	Boise State	11-1	0.143
24	Georgia	9-3	0.141
25	Cincinnati	10-3	0.131
26	Connecticut	7-5	0.115
27	Oregon	10-3	0.110
28	North Carolina State	5-7	0.107
29	Missouri	9-4	0.105
30	South Florida	7-5	0.104
31	Miami	6-6	0.103
32	California	9-4	0.103
33	Oregon State	9-4	0.099
34	LSU	7-5	0.096
35	Ball State	11-2	0.092
36	Oklahoma State	8-4	0.090
37	Arizona	8-5	0.086
38	East Carolina	9-5	0.086
39	Navy	7-5	0.083
40	Tulsa	10-3	0.081
41	South Carolina	6-6	0.076
42	Vanderbilt	7-6	0.066
43	Virginia	4-7	0.063
44	Maryland	7-5	0.058
45	Michigan State	9-4	0.056
46	Notre Dame	7-6	0.047
47	Southern Mississippi	7-6	0.044
48	Northwestern	8-4	0.040
49	Houston	7-5	0.040
50	Bowling Green	6-6	0.035
51	Buffalo	8-6	0.035
52	Duke	3-8	0.034
53	Auburn	4-7	0.027
54	BYU	9-3	0.025
55	Rice	10-3	0.018
56	Illinois	4-7	0.017
57	Wisconsin	6-6	0.014
58	Tennessee	5-7	0.009
59	Nebraska	9-4	0.009
60	Kansas	7-5	-0.004
61	Northern Illinois	5-7	-0.008
62	Stanford	5-7	-0.014
63	Temple	5-7	-0.016
64	Air Force	7-5	-0.020
65	Central Michigan	7-5	-0.023
66	Purdue	3-8	-0.023
67	Kentucky	6-6	-0.025
68	Troy	7-5	-0.025
69	Michigan	3-9	-0.034
70	Marshall	3-8	-0.036
71	Arizona State	4-7	-0.041
72	Minnesota	6-6	-0.046
73	Akron	5-7	-0.047
74	Western Michigan	8-4	-0.048
75	Baylor	3-8	-0.049
76	Central Florida	3-8	-0.052
77	Memphis	5-7	-0.053
78	Arkansas	4-7	-0.054
79	UTEP	5-7	-0.061
80	Ohio	3-8	-0.062
81	Nevada	6-6	-0.062
82	Louisville	4-7	-0.080
83	Fresno State	7-6	-0.080
84	New Mexico	4-8	-0.084
85	Colorado State	6-6	-0.096
86	Colorado	4-7	-0.101
87	Mississippi State	3-8	-0.103
88	Syracuse	2-9	-0.103
89	Kent State	3-8	-0.107
90	UCLA	4-8	-0.113
91	Kansas State	4-7	-0.122
92	UNLV	5-7	-0.125
93	Middle Tennessee	5-7	-0.128
94	UAB	3-8	-0.134
95	Louisiana Lafayette	6-6	-0.134
96	Arkansas State	5-6	-0.140
97	Florida Atlantic	7-6	-0.142
98	Eastern Michigan	2-9	-0.144
99	Louisiana Tech	7-5	-0.145
100	Army	3-8	-0.145
101	Miami (OH)	1-10	-0.152
102	Toledo	3-9	-0.155
103	San Jose State	5-6	-0.156
104	Iowa State	1-10	-0.159
105	Louisiana Monroe	3-8	-0.160
106	Indiana	2-9	-0.165
107	SMU	0-11	-0.169
108	Hawaii	6-7	-0.170
109	Wyoming	3-8	-0.171
110	Utah State	3-9	-0.181
111	Florida International	5-7	-0.185
112	Texas A&M	4-8	-0.188
113	Western Kentucky	0-10	-0.189
114	Tulane	2-10	-0.210
115	New Mexico State	2-9	-0.224
116	San Diego State	2-9	-0.233
117	Washington	0-12	-0.254
118	Washington State	1-11	-0.307
119	Idaho	1-10	-0.313
120	North Texas	1-11	-0.345

FEI Bowl Forecasts

FEI Forecasts represent the expected Margin of Victory at the conclusion of Competitive Possessions in the game, calculated as a function of the current FEI rating of each team, the projected number of Competitive Possessions to be played, and the projected scoring pace of the game. The Projected Win Expectation (PWE) of the identified game winner is also provided.

Saturday, December 20
64.6% PWE; Arizona 37, BYU 31 (31-21 F)
60.0% PWE; Fresno State 31, Colorado State 27 (35-40 F) X
77.0% PWE; South Florida 33, Memphis 20 (41-14 F)
66.9% PWE; Wake Forest 28, Navy 21 (29-19 F)

Sunday, December 21
70.8% PWE; Southern Mississippi 34, Troy 24 (30-27 F)

Tuesday, December 23
55.2% PWE; Boise State 23, TCU 21 (16-17 F) X

Wednesday, December 24
88.1% PWE; Notre Dame 30, Hawaii 10 (49-21 F)

Friday, December 26
85.5% PWE; Central Michigan 40, Florida Atlantic 21 (21-24 F) X

Saturday, December 27
81.9% PWE; Florida State 30, Wisconsin 14 (42-13 F)
60.9% PWE; Miami 28, California 24 (17-24 F) X
77.4% PWE; North Carolina 27, West Virginia 14 (30-31 F) X

Sunday, December 28
88.0% PWE; Northern Illinois 31, Louisiana Tech 13 (10-17 F) X

Monday, December 29
62.1% PWE; Missouri 35, Northwestern 31 (30-23 F)
58.3% PWE; Rutgers 28, North Carolina State 24 (29-23 F)

Tuesday, December 30
80.3% PWE; Maryland 40, Nevada 24 (42-35 F)
53.9% PWE; Oklahoma State 40, Oregon 38 (31-42 F) X
63.2% PWE; Western Michigan 42, Rice 37 (14-38 F) X

Wednesday, December 31
86.1% PWE; Boston College 27, Vanderbilt 9 (14-16 F) X
90.9% PWE; Georgia Tech 38, LSU 17 (3-38 F) X
66.3% PWE; Houston 35, Air Force 28 (34-28 F)
56.1% PWE; Minnesota 29, Kansas 27 (21-42 F) X
77.6% PWE; Pittsburgh 38, Oregon State 24 (0-3 F) X

Thursday, January 1
86.9% PWE; Clemson 35, Nebraska 17 (21-26 F) X
61.5% PWE; Georgia 34, Michigan State 30 (24-12 F)
72.9% PWE; Iowa 24, South Carolina 13 (31-10 F)
57.4% PWE; Penn State 28, USC 26 (24-38 F) X
68.0% PWE; Virginia Tech 24, Cincinnati 17 (20-7 F)

Friday, January 2
69.8% PWE; Alabama 30, Utah 21 (17-31 F) X
81.9% PWE; East Carolina 27, Kentucky 11 (19-25 F) X
53.3% PWE; Texas Tech 31, Mississippi 30 (34-47 F) X

Saturday, January 3
65.1% PWE; Connecticut 27, Buffalo 21 (38-20 F)

Monday, January 5
68.5% PWE; Texas 28, Ohio State 21 (24-21 F)

Tuesday, January 6
75.1% PWE; Ball State 40, Tulsa 28 (13-45 F) X

Thursday, January 8
63.0% PWE; Florida 35, Oklahoma 30 (24-14 F)

Week 15 FEI Ratings

Through games of December 6th. Only FBS games are considered. Click here for expanded FEI Ratings data, including weekly rankings, expanded records, offensive/defensive efficiency, and special teams and field position efficiency.

Rank	Team	W-L	FEI
1	Florida	11-1	0.333
2	Oklahoma	11-1	0.290
3	Penn State	10-1	0.283
4	Texas	11-1	0.263
5	USC	11-1	0.262
6	North Carolina	7-4	0.251
7	Georgia Tech	7-3	0.236
8	Alabama	12-1	0.213
9	Virginia Tech	8-4	0.211
10	Florida State	6-4	0.206
11	Boston College	8-4	0.201
12	Ohio State	9-2	0.192
13	Pittsburgh	9-3	0.188
14	Texas Tech	9-1	0.183
15	Mississippi	7-4	0.174
16	Clemson	5-5	0.174
17	Iowa	7-4	0.174
18	Wake Forest	7-5	0.161
19	Ball State	11-1	0.150
20	Cincinnati	10-2	0.142
21	Rutgers	6-5	0.141
22	Boise State	11-0	0.141
23	Utah	11-0	0.134
24	West Virginia	7-4	0.128
25	TCU	9-2	0.127
26	Georgia	8-3	0.117
27	North Carolina State	5-6	0.116
28	Miami	6-5	0.116
29	Connecticut	6-5	0.115
30	Missouri	8-4	0.101
31	Navy	7-4	0.098
32	Oklahoma State	8-3	0.093
33	East Carolina	9-4	0.091
34	South Florida	6-5	0.088
35	Oregon	9-3	0.083
36	California	8-4	0.081
37	Michigan State	9-3	0.080
38	South Carolina	6-5	0.077
39	Virginia	4-7	0.077
40	Arizona	7-5	0.070
41	Maryland	6-5	0.068
42	Oregon State	8-4	0.064
43	Northwestern	8-3	0.061
44	Buffalo	8-5	0.061
45	Wisconsin	6-5	0.057
46	Bowling Green	6-6	0.052
47	Notre Dame	6-6	0.044
48	Southern Mississippi	6-6	0.043
49	Tulsa	9-3	0.041
50	Duke	3-8	0.040
51	Illinois	4-7	0.037
52	Houston	6-5	0.026
53	Western Michigan	8-3	0.026
54	Northern Illinois	5-6	0.025
55	Vanderbilt	6-6	0.025
56	LSU	6-5	0.023
57	BYU	9-2	0.019
58	Central Michigan	7-4	0.017
59	Auburn	4-7	0.013
60	Temple	5-7	0.003
61	Tennessee	5-7	0.000
62	Purdue	3-8	-0.008
63	Minnesota	6-5	-0.009
64	Nebraska	8-4	-0.009
65	Michigan	3-9	-0.017
66	Rice	9-3	-0.019
67	Stanford	5-7	-0.025
68	Kansas	6-5	-0.026
69	Akron	5-7	-0.030
70	Memphis	5-6	-0.032
71	Air Force	7-4	-0.034
72	Marshall	3-8	-0.037
73	Troy	7-4	-0.042
74	Ohio	3-8	-0.043
75	Baylor	3-8	-0.049
76	Arizona State	4-7	-0.049
77	Central Florida	3-8	-0.051
78	Kentucky	5-6	-0.059
79	UTEP	5-7	-0.064
80	Nevada	6-5	-0.072
81	Arkansas	4-7	-0.076
82	Fresno State	7-5	-0.079
83	Louisville	4-7	-0.082
84	Kent State	3-8	-0.091
85	New Mexico	4-8	-0.092
86	Syracuse	2-9	-0.101
87	Colorado	4-7	-0.108
88	Colorado State	5-6	-0.110
89	Mississippi State	3-8	-0.118
90	UCLA	4-8	-0.120
91	Kansas State	4-7	-0.124
92	Eastern Michigan	2-9	-0.124
93	UNLV	5-7	-0.132
94	Middle Tennessee	5-7	-0.134
95	UAB	3-8	-0.136
96	Louisiana Lafayette	6-6	-0.136
97	Toledo	3-9	-0.138
98	Miami (OH)	1-10	-0.141
99	Arkansas State	5-6	-0.143
100	Army	3-8	-0.143
101	Hawaii	6-6	-0.147
102	Indiana	2-9	-0.150
103	Florida Atlantic	6-6	-0.155
104	San Jose State	5-6	-0.157
105	Iowa State	1-10	-0.159
106	Louisiana Tech	6-5	-0.165
107	Louisiana Monroe	3-8	-0.168
108	SMU	0-11	-0.171
109	Wyoming	3-8	-0.174
110	Utah State	3-9	-0.182
111	Florida International	5-7	-0.188
112	Texas A&M	4-8	-0.188
113	Western Kentucky	0-10	-0.190
114	Tulane	2-10	-0.216
115	New Mexico State	2-9	-0.225
116	San Diego State	2-9	-0.237
117	Washington	0-12	-0.257
118	Washington State	1-11	-0.309
119	Idaho	1-10	-0.310
120	North Texas	1-11	-0.351

Week 15 FEI Forecasts

FEI Forecasts represent the expected Margin of Victory at the conclusion of Competitive Possessions in the game, calculated as a function of the current FEI rating of each team, the projected number of Competitive Possessions to be played, and the projected scoring pace of the game. The Projected Win Expectation (PWE) of the identified game winner is also provided.

Wednesday, December 3
50.1% PWE; LOUISIANA LAFAYETTE 19, Middle Tennessee 18 (42-28 F)

Thursday, December 4
85.3% PWE; RUTGERS 37, Louisville 20 (63-14 F)

Friday, December 5
73.8% PWE; Ball State 35, Buffalo 21 (24-42 F) X

Saturday, December 6
79.5% PWE; ARIZONA 34, Arizona State 20 (31-10 F)
52.2% PWE; Boston College 31, Virginia Tech 28 (12-30 F) X
98.2% PWE; CALIFORNIA 40, Washington 3 (48-7 F)
97.5% PWE; Cincinnati 42, HAWAII 9 (29-24 F)
54.3% PWE; East Carolina 29, TULSA 28 (27-24 F)
64.0% PWE; Florida 40, Alabama 31 (31-20 F)
56.4% PWE; FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL 17, Western Kentucky 14 (27-3 F)
86.0% PWE; Navy 34, Army 13 (34-0 F)
72.1% PWE; Oklahoma 42, Missouri 28 (62-21 F)
52.9% PWE; Pittsburgh 34, CONNECTICUT 33 (34-10 F)
71.9% PWE; TROY 23, Arkansas State 14 (35-9 F)
98.5% PWE; USC 48, UCLA (h) 10 (28-7 F)
66.8% PWE; WEST VIRGINIA 33, South Florida 27 (13-7 F)

Week 14 FEI Ratings

Through games of November 29th. Only FBS games are considered. Click here for expanded FEI Ratings data, including weekly rankings, expanded records, offensive/defensive efficiency, and special teams and field position efficiency.

Rank	Team	W-L	FEI
1	Florida	10-1	0.323
2	Penn State	10-1	0.282
3	Oklahoma	10-1	0.277
4	USC	10-1	0.271
5	Texas	11-1	0.269
6	North Carolina	7-4	0.250
7	Georgia Tech	7-3	0.234
8	Alabama	12-0	0.229
9	Boston College	8-3	0.213
10	Florida State	6-4	0.200
11	Ohio State	9-2	0.188
12	Texas Tech	9-1	0.186
13	Virginia Tech	7-4	0.179
14	Pittsburgh	8-3	0.176
15	Clemson	5-5	0.175
16	Mississippi	7-4	0.174
17	Iowa	7-4	0.171
18	Ball State	11-0	0.171
19	Cincinnati	9-2	0.161
20	Wake Forest	7-5	0.160
21	Missouri	8-3	0.140
22	Connecticut	6-4	0.139
23	Boise State	11-0	0.133
24	Utah	11-0	0.131
25	West Virginia	6-4	0.129
26	Rutgers	5-5	0.125
27	TCU	9-2	0.124
28	Georgia	8-3	0.119
29	North Carolina State	5-6	0.114
30	Miami	6-5	0.110
31	South Florida	6-4	0.103
32	Oklahoma State	8-3	0.097
33	Navy	6-4	0.089
34	Oregon	9-3	0.082
35	California	7-4	0.078
36	South Carolina	6-5	0.078
37	East Carolina	8-4	0.078
38	Michigan State	9-3	0.077
39	Virginia	4-7	0.076
40	Maryland	6-5	0.067
41	Oregon State	8-4	0.062
42	Arizona	6-5	0.059
43	Northwestern	8-3	0.059
44	Wisconsin	6-5	0.054
45	Bowling Green	6-6	0.045
46	Notre Dame	6-6	0.044
47	Southern Mississippi	6-6	0.042
48	Duke	3-8	0.037
49	Illinois	4-7	0.036
50	Tulsa	9-2	0.034
51	Vanderbilt	6-6	0.026
52	Buffalo	7-5	0.023
53	Northern Illinois	5-6	0.021
54	Houston	6-5	0.021
55	LSU	6-5	0.021
56	Western Michigan	8-3	0.017
57	BYU	9-2	0.015
58	Auburn	4-7	0.013
59	Central Michigan	7-4	0.008
60	Tennessee	5-7	0.002
61	Temple	5-7	0.000
62	Nebraska	8-4	-0.007
63	Louisville	4-6	-0.008
64	Purdue	3-8	-0.010
65	Minnesota	6-5	-0.012
66	Kansas	6-5	-0.019
67	Michigan	3-9	-0.019
68	Rice	9-3	-0.020
69	Memphis	5-6	-0.025
70	Stanford	5-7	-0.026
71	Akron	5-7	-0.031
72	Arizona State	4-6	-0.034
73	Air Force	7-4	-0.036
74	Marshall	3-8	-0.037
75	Kentucky	5-6	-0.044
76	Baylor	3-8	-0.046
77	Ohio	3-8	-0.049
78	Central Florida	3-8	-0.051
79	Troy	6-4	-0.059
80	UTEP	5-7	-0.070
81	Arkansas	4-7	-0.076
82	Nevada	6-5	-0.078
83	Fresno State	7-5	-0.089
84	Syracuse	2-9	-0.091
85	New Mexico	4-8	-0.096
86	Kent State	3-8	-0.097
87	Colorado	4-7	-0.104
88	Arkansas State	5-5	-0.108
89	Colorado State	5-6	-0.112
90	Middle Tennessee	5-6	-0.115
91	Mississippi State	3-8	-0.115
92	Kansas State	4-7	-0.117
93	UCLA	4-7	-0.122
94	Eastern Michigan	2-9	-0.126
95	Army	3-7	-0.131
96	UNLV	5-7	-0.133
97	UAB	3-8	-0.137
98	Louisiana Lafayette	5-6	-0.141
99	Toledo	3-9	-0.141
100	Miami (OH)	1-10	-0.144
101	Indiana	2-9	-0.150
102	Florida Atlantic	6-6	-0.153
103	Iowa State	1-10	-0.157
104	San Jose State	5-6	-0.166
105	Louisiana Monroe	3-8	-0.167
106	SMU	0-11	-0.172
107	Louisiana Tech	6-5	-0.172
108	Wyoming	3-8	-0.176
109	Hawaii	6-5	-0.180
110	Western Kentucky	0-9	-0.181
111	Texas A&M	4-8	-0.184
112	Florida International	4-7	-0.186
113	Utah State	3-9	-0.189
114	Tulane	2-10	-0.216
115	New Mexico State	2-9	-0.232
116	San Diego State	2-9	-0.240
117	Washington	0-11	-0.241
118	Washington State	1-11	-0.309
119	Idaho	1-10	-0.316
120	North Texas	1-11	-0.349

Week 13 FEI Ratings

Through games of November 23rd. Only FBS games are considered. Click here for expanded FEI Ratings data, including weekly rankings, expanded records, offensive/defensive efficiency, and special teams and field position efficiency.

Rank	Team	W-L	FEI
1	Florida	9-1	0.314
2	Penn State	10-1	0.284
3	Texas	10-1	0.277
4	Oklahoma	9-1	0.273
5	USC	9-1	0.259
6	North Carolina	6-4	0.249
7	Georgia Tech	6-3	0.228
8	Alabama	11-0	0.227
9	Florida State	6-3	0.221
10	Boston College	7-3	0.214
11	Texas Tech	8-1	0.195
12	Ohio State	9-2	0.189
13	Mississippi	6-4	0.176
14	Virginia Tech	6-4	0.174
15	Iowa	7-4	0.171
16	Ball State	10-0	0.163
17	Pittsburgh	7-3	0.160
18	Missouri	8-2	0.158
19	Cincinnati	8-2	0.157
20	Clemson	4-5	0.149
21	Wake Forest	6-5	0.147
22	Georgia	8-2	0.131
23	Connecticut	6-4	0.130
24	Utah	11-0	0.129
25	West Virginia	6-3	0.125
26	Boise State	10-0	0.124
27	TCU	9-2	0.120
28	Rutgers	5-5	0.118
29	Miami	6-4	0.116
30	Oklahoma State	8-2	0.109
31	South Carolina	6-4	0.094
32	South Florida	6-4	0.092
33	North Carolina State	4-6	0.087
34	Oregon State	8-3	0.079
35	Michigan State	9-3	0.079
36	California	7-4	0.069
37	Wisconsin	6-5	0.059
38	Virginia	4-6	0.059
39	Northwestern	8-3	0.058
40	Notre Dame	6-5	0.058
41	Arizona	6-5	0.057
42	East Carolina	7-4	0.057
43	Northern Illinois	5-5	0.052
44	Maryland	6-4	0.049
45	Navy	5-4	0.047
46	Oregon	8-3	0.046
47	Western Michigan	8-2	0.046
48	Auburn	4-6	0.040
49	Southern Mississippi	5-6	0.040
50	Buffalo	7-4	0.040
51	Illinois	4-7	0.039
52	Bowling Green	5-6	0.038
53	Vanderbilt	6-5	0.036
54	Tulsa	8-2	0.034
55	Houston	6-4	0.034
56	LSU	6-4	0.033
57	Central Michigan	7-3	0.028
58	Duke	3-7	0.022
59	BYU	9-2	0.010
60	Nebraska	7-4	0.001
61	Tennessee	4-7	-0.007
62	Minnesota	6-5	-0.007
63	Purdue	3-8	-0.008
64	Louisville	4-6	-0.012
65	Kentucky	5-5	-0.014
66	Michigan	3-9	-0.015
67	Temple	4-7	-0.016
68	Akron	5-6	-0.018
69	Central Florida	3-7	-0.028
70	Stanford	5-7	-0.028
71	UTEP	5-6	-0.039
72	Rice	8-3	-0.039
73	Air Force	7-4	-0.040
74	Memphis	4-6	-0.041
75	Arizona State	3-6	-0.043
76	Marshall	3-7	-0.049
77	Baylor	3-7	-0.052
78	Fresno State	7-4	-0.055
79	Kansas	5-5	-0.056
80	Ohio	2-8	-0.058
81	Troy	6-4	-0.061
82	Nevada	5-5	-0.061
83	Arkansas	3-7	-0.079
84	Syracuse	2-8	-0.085
85	Mississippi State	3-7	-0.091
86	New Mexico	4-8	-0.093
87	Arkansas State	4-5	-0.094
88	Colorado State	5-6	-0.114
89	Colorado	4-6	-0.115
90	Kent State	2-8	-0.115
91	Middle Tennessee	5-6	-0.116
92	UCLA	4-6	-0.121
93	Kansas State	4-7	-0.121
94	Toledo	3-8	-0.128
95	Army	3-7	-0.132
96	Miami (OH)	1-9	-0.135
97	Eastern Michigan	1-9	-0.137
98	UNLV	5-7	-0.137
99	Louisiana Lafayette	5-6	-0.143
100	Indiana	2-9	-0.149
101	Florida Atlantic	5-6	-0.150
102	San Jose State	5-6	-0.157
103	Hawaii	5-5	-0.157
104	Iowa State	1-10	-0.161
105	UAB	2-8	-0.164
106	Texas A&M	4-7	-0.166
107	Louisiana Monroe	3-8	-0.168
108	New Mexico State	2-8	-0.175
109	SMU	0-10	-0.176
110	Louisiana Tech	6-4	-0.178
111	Wyoming	3-8	-0.180
112	Western Kentucky	0-9	-0.181
113	Florida International	4-6	-0.200
114	Tulane	2-9	-0.201
115	Utah State	2-9	-0.213
116	San Diego State	2-9	-0.240
117	Washington	0-11	-0.243
118	Idaho	1-10	-0.309
119	Washington State	1-10	-0.323
120	North Texas	1-10	-0.374

Week 14 FEI Forecasts

FEI Forecasts represent the expected Margin of Victory at the conclusion of Competitive Possessions in the game, calculated as a function of the current FEI rating of each team, the projected number of Competitive Possessions to be played, and the projected scoring pace of the game. The Projected Win Expectation (PWE) of the identified game winner is also provided.

Tuesday, November 25
83.1% PWE; BALL STATE 37, Western Michigan 21 (45-22 F)
60.6% PWE; NORTHERN ILLINOIS 27, Navy 23 (0-16 F) X

Thursday, November 27
99.5% PWE; TEXAS 52, Texas A&M 6 (49-9 F)

Friday, November 28
77.0% PWE; ARIZONA STATE (h) 29, UCLA 17 (34-9 F)
91.4% PWE; BOISE STATE 38, Fresno State 16 (61-10 F)
77.2% PWE; Bowling Green 30, TOLEDO 17 (38-10 F)
88.5% PWE; BUFFALO 31, Kent State 12 (21-24 F) X
77.0% PWE; Central Michigan 30, EASTERN MICHIGAN 17 (52-56 F) X
79.8% PWE; EAST CAROLINA (h) 31, UTEP 17 (53-21 F)
67.4% PWE; LSU 28, ARKANSAS (h) 20 (30-31 F) X
97.8% PWE; MISSISSIPPI 40, Mississippi State 10 (45-0 F)
82.9% PWE; NEBRASKA 30, Colorado 14 (40-31 F)
61.1% PWE; Ohio 22, MIAMI (OH) 17 (41-26 F)
69.2% PWE; PITTSBURGH 35, West Virginia 28 (19-15 F)
59.3% PWE; TEMPLE 24, Akron 21 (27-6 F)

Saturday, November 29
92.2% PWE; ALABAMA 37, Auburn 16 (36-0 F)
93.4% PWE; Arkansas State 28, NORTH TEXAS 3 (33-28 F)
89.7% PWE; BOSTON COLLEGE 38, Maryland 17 (28-21 F)
85.9% PWE; CENTRAL FLORIDA (h) 30, UAB 13 (0-15 F) X
96.8% PWE; CINCINNATI 39, Syracuse 10 (30-10 F)
73.0% PWE; CLEMSON 31, South Carolina 23 (31-14 F)
63.9% PWE; Florida 39, FLORIDA STATE 33 (45-15 F)
72.2% PWE; FLORIDA ATLANTIC 20, Florida International 12 (57-50 F)
64.7% PWE; Georgia Tech 34, GEORGIA 27 (45-42 F)
89.8% PWE; HAWAII 30, Washington State 8 (24-10 F)
60.3% PWE; Houston 28, RICE 24 (42-56 F) X
89.1% PWE; MEMPHIS 30, Tulane 10 (45-6 F)
50.7% PWE; Miami 25, NORTH CAROLINA STATE 24 (28-38 F) X
85.0% PWE; Missouri 40, Kansas 17 (37-40 F) X
68.2% PWE; Nevada 25, LOUISIANA TECH 16 (35-31 F)
53.1% PWE; New Mexico State 19, UTAH STATE 18 (2-47 F) X
87.0% PWE; North Carolina 37, DUKE 18 (28-20 F)
76.9% PWE; Oklahoma 40, OKLAHOMA STATE 27 (61-41 F)
68.5% PWE; OREGON STATE 34, Oregon 27 (38-65 F) X
85.5% PWE; Southern Mississippi 30, SMU 11 (28-12 F)
61.3% PWE; TENNESSEE 24, Kentucky 20 (28-10 F)
97.0% PWE; TEXAS TECH 45, Baylor 17 (35-28 F)
62.2% PWE; Tulsa 28, MARSHALL 23 (38-35 F)
93.8% PWE; USC 44, Notre Dame 20 (38-3 F)
82.8% PWE; VIRGINIA TECH 31, Virginia 17 (17-14 F)
82.1% PWE; WAKE FOREST 35, Vanderbilt 20 (23-10 F)

Week 12 FEI Ratings

Through games of November 8th. Only FBS games are considered. Click here for expanded FEI Ratings data, including weekly rankings, expanded records, offensive/defensive efficiency, and special teams and field position efficiency.

Rank	Team	W-L	FEI
1	Florida	9-1	0.309
2	North Carolina	6-3	0.290
3	Penn State	9-1	0.284
4	Texas	10-1	0.266
5	USC	9-1	0.266
6	Texas Tech	8-0	0.258
7	Oklahoma	8-1	0.217
8	Alabama	11-0	0.212
9	Ohio State	8-2	0.210
10	Georgia Tech	5-3	0.197
11	Boston College	6-3	0.193
12	Virginia Tech	5-4	0.189
13	Florida State	5-3	0.188
14	Ball State	9-0	0.169
15	Iowa	6-4	0.159
16	Mississippi	5-4	0.159
17	Pittsburgh	7-2	0.158
18	Missouri	8-2	0.157
19	Miami	6-3	0.154
20	Wake Forest	6-4	0.138
21	Michigan State	9-2	0.134
22	Connecticut	6-3	0.133
23	Utah	10-0	0.129
24	Boise State	9-0	0.127
25	Georgia	8-2	0.121
26	Cincinnati	7-2	0.120
27	Clemson	3-5	0.118
28	Oklahoma State	8-2	0.110
29	West Virginia	5-3	0.110
30	TCU	8-2	0.105
31	Rutgers	4-5	0.099
32	Maryland	6-3	0.088
33	Wisconsin	6-5	0.086
34	Virginia	4-5	0.079
35	Notre Dame	6-4	0.079
36	Illinois	4-6	0.076
37	California	6-4	0.069
38	South Carolina	6-4	0.068
39	East Carolina	6-4	0.066
40	Oregon State	7-3	0.064
41	Minnesota	6-4	0.063
42	Northwestern	7-3	0.060
43	Navy	5-4	0.056
44	Arizona	6-4	0.054
45	Bowling Green	5-5	0.050
46	Western Michigan	8-2	0.047
47	Oregon	8-3	0.045
48	South Florida	5-4	0.042
49	Southern Mississippi	5-6	0.039
50	Houston	5-4	0.039
51	Northern Illinois	4-5	0.038
52	Vanderbilt	6-4	0.037
53	LSU	6-3	0.037
54	Auburn	4-6	0.032
55	BYU	9-1	0.030
56	Buffalo	6-4	0.028
57	Central Michigan	7-2	0.027
58	Michigan	3-8	0.023
59	Duke	3-6	0.016
60	North Carolina State	3-6	0.016
61	Air Force	7-3	0.014
62	Tulsa	7-2	0.013
63	Temple	3-7	0.003
64	Nebraska	7-4	-0.003
65	Akron	5-5	-0.012
66	Purdue	2-8	-0.019
67	Stanford	5-6	-0.019
68	Kentucky	5-5	-0.021
69	Louisville	4-5	-0.022
70	Marshall	3-6	-0.033
71	Tennessee	3-7	-0.037
72	Central Florida	2-7	-0.040
73	Arizona State	3-6	-0.041
74	Memphis	4-5	-0.045
75	UTEP	5-5	-0.051
76	Baylor	3-7	-0.054
77	Rice	7-3	-0.059
78	Kansas	5-5	-0.059
79	Ohio	1-8	-0.060
80	Fresno State	6-4	-0.069
81	Kent State	2-7	-0.078
82	Nevada	5-4	-0.081
83	Troy	5-4	-0.088
84	Indiana	2-8	-0.092
85	New Mexico	4-8	-0.093
86	Arkansas State	3-5	-0.094
87	Mississippi State	2-7	-0.096
88	Arkansas	3-6	-0.096
89	Army	3-6	-0.105
90	Colorado State	4-6	-0.107
91	Louisiana Lafayette	5-5	-0.108
92	UNLV	5-6	-0.112
93	Syracuse	1-8	-0.114
94	Kansas State	3-7	-0.115
95	Middle Tennessee	4-6	-0.116
96	Colorado	4-6	-0.116
97	Miami (OH)	1-8	-0.116
98	UCLA	4-6	-0.125
99	Toledo	2-8	-0.135
100	Florida Atlantic	5-5	-0.141
101	Eastern Michigan	1-8	-0.147
102	Iowa State	1-9	-0.158
103	Texas A&M	4-7	-0.162
104	Louisiana Monroe	2-8	-0.165
105	San Jose State	5-5	-0.171
106	Hawaii	4-5	-0.175
107	SMU	0-10	-0.178
108	Western Kentucky	0-9	-0.178
109	Tulane	2-8	-0.182
110	Louisiana Tech	5-4	-0.183
111	Wyoming	3-7	-0.185
112	UAB	2-7	-0.185
113	New Mexico State	2-7	-0.191
114	Florida International	4-5	-0.215
115	Utah State	2-9	-0.216
116	Washington	0-10	-0.250
117	San Diego State	1-9	-0.254
118	Idaho	1-9	-0.310
119	Washington State	0-10	-0.317
120	North Texas	1-9	-0.374

Week 13 FEI Forecasts

FEI Forecasts represent the expected Margin of Victory at the conclusion of Competitive Possessions in the game, calculated as a function of the current FEI rating of each team, the projected number of Competitive Possessions to be played, and the projected scoring pace of the game. The Projected Win Expectation (PWE) of the identified game winner is also provided.

Tuesday, November 18
68.1% PWE; Northern Illinois 28, KENT STATE 20 (42-14 F)

Wednesday, November 19
72.9% PWE; Ball State 38, CENTRAL MICHIGAN 27 (31-24 F)

Thursday, November 20
70.7% PWE; GEORGIA TECH 31, Miami 23 (41-23 F)

Friday, November 21
65.9% PWE; BOWLING GREEN 28, Buffalo 23 (34-40 F) X
65.5% PWE; Fresno State 24, SAN JOSE STATE 17 (24-10 F)
52.0% PWE; TOLEDO 20, Miami (OH) 19 (42-14 F)

Saturday, November 22
55.2% PWE; Akron 24, OHIO 22 (42-49 F) X
54.8% PWE; ARIZONA 30, Oregon State 27 (17-19 F) X
71.6% PWE; ARKANSAS STATE 22, Florida Atlantic 14 (28-14 F)
84.2% PWE; Boise State 35, NEVADA 17 (41-34 F)
56.8% PWE; Boston College 31, WAKE FOREST 28 (24-21 F)
78.8% PWE; CALIFORNIA 33, Stanford 20 (37-16 F)
53.3% PWE; Clemson 28, VIRGINIA 27 (13-3 F)
61.1% PWE; Colorado State 21, WYOMING 17 (31-20 F)
90.2% PWE; East Carolina 33, UAB 11 (17-13 F)
65.4% PWE; Florida State 31, MARYLAND 24 (37-3 F)
85.7% PWE; HAWAII 27, Idaho 10 (49-17 F)
79.0% PWE; HOUSTON (h) 33, UTEP 20 (42-37 F)
64.5% PWE; Iowa 30, MINNESOTA 24 (55-0 F)
70.8% PWE; KANSAS STATE 23, Iowa State 15 (38-30 F)
55.7% PWE; Louisiana Monroe 17, FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL 15 (31-27 F)
56.4% PWE; MEMPHIS 24, Central Florida 21 (21-28 F) X
97.5% PWE; MIDDLE TENNESSEE 30, North Texas 0 (52-13 F)
69.3% PWE; Mississippi 31, LSU 22 (31-13 F)
58.5% PWE; MISSISSIPPI STATE 23, Arkansas 20 (31-28 F)
55.6% PWE; NEW MEXICO STATE 20, Louisiana Tech 17 (31-35 F) X
98.0% PWE; NORTH CAROLINA 45, North Carolina State 13 (10-41 F) X
52.6% PWE; NORTHWESTERN 30, Illinois 28 (27-10 F)
92.9% PWE; NOTRE DAME 35, Syracuse 12 (23-24 F) X
92.4% PWE; OHIO STATE 40, Michigan 17 (42-7 F)
87.8% PWE; PENN STATE 42, Michigan State 23 (49-18 F)
53.1% PWE; Pittsburgh 31, CINCINNATI 30 (21-28 F) X
76.3% PWE; PURDUE 28, Indiana 17 (62-10 F)
50.1% PWE; RICE 25, Marshall 24 (35-10 F)
93.9% PWE; RUTGERS 38, Army 13 (30-3 F)
79.0% PWE; TCU 33, Air Force 21 (44-10 F)
87.7% PWE; TEMPLE 30, Eastern Michigan 12 (55-52 F)
53.6% PWE; Texas Tech 39, OKLAHOMA 38 (21-65 F) X
65.2% PWE; TROY 22, Louisiana Lafayette 17 (48-3 F)
93.1% PWE; TULSA 35, Tulane 12 (56-7 F)
72.9% PWE; UNLV 23, SAN DIEGO STATE (h) 12 (21-42 F) X
80.3% PWE; UTAH (h) 33, BYU 20 (48-24 F)
76.4% PWE; VANDERBILT 30, Tennessee 19 (10-20 F) X
90.7% PWE; VIRGINIA TECH 35, Duke 14 (14-3 F)
59.2% PWE; Washington 19, WASHINGTON STATE 15 (13-16 F) X
71.2% PWE; West Virginia 31, LOUISVILLE 21 (35-21 F)

Sunday, November 23
63.4% PWE; Connecticut 30, SOUTH FLORIDA 24 (13-17 F) X

Week 11 FEI Ratings

Through games of November 8th. Only FBS games are considered. Click here for expanded FEI Ratings data, including weekly rankings, expanded records, offensive/defensive efficiency, and special teams and field position efficiency.

Rank	Team	W-L	FEI
1	Florida	8-1	0.310
2	Penn State	8-1	0.292
3	North Carolina	6-2	0.290
4	Texas	9-1	0.274
5	Texas Tech	8-0	0.270
6	USC	8-1	0.260
7	Alabama	10-0	0.224
8	Oklahoma	8-1	0.223
9	Florida State	5-2	0.196
10	Ohio State	7-2	0.190
11	Georgia Tech	5-3	0.187
12	Virginia Tech	5-3	0.182
13	Ball State	8-0	0.176
14	Iowa	5-4	0.174
15	Pittsburgh	7-2	0.164
16	Missouri	7-2	0.161
17	Mississippi	4-4	0.159
18	Wake Forest	6-3	0.143
19	Boston College	5-3	0.142
20	Miami	5-3	0.141
21	Connecticut	5-3	0.128
22	Michigan State	9-2	0.127
23	Georgia	7-2	0.125
24	Boise State	8-0	0.124
25	Utah	9-0	0.124
26	Cincinnati	6-2	0.121
27	Oklahoma State	7-2	0.109
28	West Virginia	5-3	0.106
29	South Carolina	6-3	0.105
30	TCU	8-2	0.102
31	Illinois	4-5	0.100
32	East Carolina	6-3	0.091
33	Tulsa	7-1	0.091
34	Wisconsin	5-5	0.084
35	South Florida	5-3	0.083
36	Clemson	2-5	0.074
37	Virginia	4-5	0.070
38	California	6-3	0.066
39	Rutgers	3-5	0.065
40	Arizona	6-3	0.060
41	Navy	5-3	0.060
42	Notre Dame	5-4	0.060
43	LSU	5-3	0.059
44	Minnesota	6-3	0.055
45	Northwestern	6-3	0.050
46	Western Michigan	7-2	0.049
47	Duke	3-5	0.049
48	Bowling Green	5-5	0.046
49	Vanderbilt	5-4	0.040
50	Northern Illinois	4-4	0.038
51	Oregon State	6-3	0.037
52	Auburn	4-5	0.034
53	Oregon	7-3	0.022
54	Air Force	7-2	0.022
55	Michigan	3-7	0.021
56	Maryland	5-3	0.021
57	Southern Mississippi	4-6	0.019
58	Buffalo	5-4	0.018
59	Temple	3-6	0.003
60	Central Michigan	6-2	0.001
61	BYU	8-1	-0.003
62	North Carolina State	2-6	-0.004
63	Houston	4-4	-0.007
64	Nebraska	6-4	-0.008
65	Kentucky	5-4	-0.014
66	Louisville	4-4	-0.015
67	Stanford	5-5	-0.018
68	Akron	5-4	-0.018
69	Kansas	5-4	-0.028
70	Marshall	3-5	-0.031
71	Tennessee	3-7	-0.037
72	Arizona State	2-6	-0.039
73	Memphis	4-5	-0.040
74	Purdue	2-7	-0.040
75	Rice	7-3	-0.046
76	Central Florida	1-7	-0.051
77	UTEP	4-5	-0.056
78	Ohio	1-8	-0.065
79	Fresno State	5-4	-0.068
80	Arkansas	3-6	-0.071
81	New Mexico	4-7	-0.072
82	Baylor	2-7	-0.073
83	Louisiana Lafayette	5-4	-0.078
84	Arkansas State	3-5	-0.078
85	Kent State	1-7	-0.088
86	Nevada	4-4	-0.090
87	Indiana	2-7	-0.092
88	Kansas State	3-6	-0.093
89	Army	3-6	-0.096
90	Mississippi State	2-6	-0.096
91	Syracuse	1-7	-0.106
92	UNLV	4-6	-0.107
93	Troy	5-3	-0.107
94	Colorado	4-5	-0.116
95	Louisiana Monroe	2-7	-0.117
96	Texas A&M	4-6	-0.119
97	Miami (OH)	1-7	-0.121
98	Middle Tennessee	3-6	-0.122
99	Colorado State	3-6	-0.131
100	UCLA	3-6	-0.134
101	Toledo	2-7	-0.136
102	Iowa State	1-8	-0.146
103	Eastern Michigan	1-8	-0.150
104	SMU	0-9	-0.154
105	Florida Atlantic	4-5	-0.155
106	Tulane	2-7	-0.157
107	San Jose State	5-4	-0.166
108	Louisiana Tech	4-4	-0.167
109	Hawaii	4-5	-0.179
110	Western Kentucky	0-8	-0.182
111	Wyoming	3-6	-0.195
112	UAB	1-7	-0.196
113	Florida International	4-5	-0.205
114	New Mexico State	2-6	-0.208
115	Utah State	2-8	-0.230
116	San Diego State	1-8	-0.244
117	Washington	0-9	-0.251
118	Idaho	1-8	-0.310
119	Washington State	0-9	-0.325
120	North Texas	1-9	-0.365