| Rank | Team | W-L | FEI |
| 1 | Florida | 1-0 | 0.287 |
| 2 | USC | 2-0 | 0.243 |
| 3 | Texas | 2-0 | 0.224 |
| 4 | Ohio State | 1-1 | 0.202 |
| 5 | Alabama | 2-0 | 0.189 |
| 6 | West Virginia | 1-0 | 0.188 |
| 7 | Oklahoma | 0-1 | 0.188 |
| 8 | Virginia Tech | 1-1 | 0.187 |
| 9 | LSU | 2-0 | 0.179 |
| 10 | BYU | 2-0 | 0.164 |
| 11 | Georgia Tech | 1-0 | 0.158 |
| 12 | Michigan | 2-0 | 0.154 |
| 13 | Penn State | 2-0 | 0.154 |
| 14 | Clemson | 1-1 | 0.150 |
| 15 | Notre Dame | 1-1 | 0.146 |
| 16 | Auburn | 2-0 | 0.145 |
| 17 | Georgia | 1-1 | 0.145 |
| 18 | Oklahoma State | 1-1 | 0.132 |
| 19 | Iowa | 1-0 | 0.128 |
| 20 | Boston College | 1-0 | 0.127 |
| 21 | California | 1-0 | 0.122 |
| 22 | Kansas | 1-0 | 0.118 |
| 23 | Arkansas | 0-0 | 0.117 |
| 24 | South Carolina | 1-1 | 0.108 |
| 25 | Texas Tech | 1-0 | 0.104 |
| 26 | Vanderbilt | 0-1 | 0.103 |
| 27 | Boise State | 2-0 | 0.102 |
| 28 | Miami | 1-0 | 0.097 |
| 29 | TCU | 1-0 | 0.097 |
| 30 | Florida State | 0-1 | 0.096 |
| 31 | Utah | 2-0 | 0.096 |
| 32 | Navy | 1-1 | 0.091 |
| 33 | Pittsburgh | 1-0 | 0.084 |
| 34 | Southern Mississippi | 1-0 | 0.081 |
| 35 | Arizona | 1-0 | 0.077 |
| 36 | Oregon | 1-1 | 0.077 |
| 37 | Missouri | 2-0 | 0.073 |
| 38 | East Carolina | 0-1 | 0.066 |
| 39 | Michigan State | 0-1 | 0.066 |
| 40 | Wisconsin | 2-0 | 0.061 |
| 41 | UCLA | 2-0 | 0.061 |
| 42 | Fresno State | 0-1 | 0.060 |
| 43 | Central Michigan | 1-1 | 0.059 |
| 44 | North Carolina | 1-0 | 0.055 |
| 45 | Arizona State | 0-0 | 0.055 |
| 46 | Cincinnati | 1-0 | 0.054 |
| 47 | South Florida | 1-0 | 0.051 |
| 48 | Wake Forest | 1-1 | 0.045 |
| 49 | Houston | 1-0 | 0.044 |
| 50 | Louisville | 0-0 | 0.043 |
| 51 | Oregon State | 1-0 | 0.037 |
| 52 | North Carolina State | 0-1 | 0.036 |
| 53 | Tennessee | 1-1 | 0.027 |
| 54 | Texas A&M | 1-0 | 0.026 |
| 55 | Minnesota | 2-0 | 0.025 |
| 56 | Stanford | 1-1 | 0.023 |
| 57 | Tulsa | 2-0 | 0.019 |
| 58 | Mississippi | 1-0 | 0.016 |
| 59 | Purdue | 1-1 | 0.016 |
| 60 | Connecticut | 1-1 | 0.012 |
| 61 | Central Florida | 0-1 | 0.012 |
| 62 | Northwestern | 1-0 | 0.004 |
| 63 | Air Force | 0-1 | 0.001 |
| 64 | Northern Illinois | 0-1 | -0.009 |
| 65 | Rutgers | 0-1 | -0.010 |
| 66 | Virginia | 0-1 | -0.012 |
| 67 | Nebraska | 2-0 | -0.016 |
| 68 | Baylor | 1-0 | -0.016 |
| 69 | Bowling Green | 1-1 | -0.024 |
| 70 | Kansas State | 0-1 | -0.029 |
| 71 | Middle Tennessee | 1-1 | -0.030 |
| 72 | Maryland | 0-1 | -0.030 |
| 73 | Toledo | 1-1 | -0.043 |
| 74 | UAB | 1-1 | -0.044 |
| 75 | Wyoming | 0-1 | -0.048 |
| 76 | Marshall | 0-1 | -0.053 |
| 77 | Iowa State | 0-1 | -0.056 |
| 78 | Akron | 0-1 | -0.062 |
| 79 | Louisiana Tech | 0-2 | -0.065 |
| 80 | Hawaii | 1-0 | -0.069 |
| 81 | Troy | 0-2 | -0.073 |
| 82 | Kentucky | 1-0 | -0.074 |
| 83 | Ball State | 0-1 | -0.084 |
| 84 | Ohio | 1-1 | -0.088 |
| 85 | Kent State | 0-1 | -0.093 |
| 86 | Nevada | 0-1 | -0.095 |
| 87 | UTEP | 0-2 | -0.095 |
| 88 | Louisiana Monroe | 0-1 | -0.097 |
| 89 | Louisiana Lafayette | 1-0 | -0.099 |
| 90 | SMU | 1-0 | -0.101 |
| 91 | Washington | 1-1 | -0.101 |
| 92 | Indiana | 1-0 | -0.105 |
| 93 | Eastern Michigan | 0-2 | -0.107 |
| 94 | Army | 1-1 | -0.110 |
| 95 | Buffalo | 1-1 | -0.112 |
| 96 | San Diego State | 0-1 | -0.112 |
| 97 | Mississippi State | 0-1 | -0.116 |
| 98 | New Mexico | 0-2 | -0.119 |
| 99 | Colorado | 0-2 | -0.124 |
| 100 | Western Michigan | 0-2 | -0.124 |
| 101 | Illinois | 0-1 | -0.126 |
| 102 | Memphis | 0-2 | -0.127 |
| 103 | San Jose State | 0-2 | -0.129 |
| 104 | Colorado State | 1-0 | -0.134 |
| 105 | North Texas | 1-1 | -0.140 |
| 106 | UNLV | 0-1 | -0.141 |
| 107 | Temple | 0-0 | -0.142 |
| 108 | Duke | 1-0 | -0.146 |
| 109 | Syracuse | 0-2 | -0.149 |
| 110 | Florida International | 0-1 | -0.151 |
| 111 | Utah State | 0-1 | -0.153 |
| 112 | Miami (OH) | 0-2 | -0.180 |
| 113 | Arkansas State | 0-1 | -0.184 |
| 114 | Washington State | 0-2 | -0.192 |
| 115 | Tulane | 0-2 | -0.199 |
| 116 | Rice | 0-2 | -0.216 |
| 117 | Florida Atlantic | 0-1 | -0.226 |
| 118 | Western Kentucky | 0-2 | -0.238 |
| 119 | New Mexico State | 0-1 | -0.240 |
| 120 | Idaho | 1-1 | -0.243 |
Wednesday, September 16, 2009
Week 2 FEI Ratings
Updated through the results of September 12th games. Only FBS games are considered.
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7 comments:
Brian, Thanks for this. I am fascinated by your work and trying to delve into it each week. (Since FO gave you pages for the College Football Intro/Toolbox in their annual this year, I've been hooked.)
I noticed Florida's FEI dropped from a projected .341 in pre-season to a .287 after their first FBS game against Troy. Last year it looks like you reduced the projection 1/7 after each game until 7 games were played and the projection was then discarded. If that is still the case this year, it sure seems like Florida must have had a low GE last week for one game with minor weighting to drag down the FEI so much. Can you shed some light on that? Thanks.
Specific Question: What did Kentucky do -- a 30-20 projected winner over Miami (OH) but won 42-0 -- to drop from their projected FEI of -.013 to -.074 after the Miami game? How is that possible?
I can wait to see how badly you expect Florida to pound Tennessee. Can you take into account the: You deserve to suffer factor?
dude you are an idiot, how could you put Boise State at 27, and put BYU at 10. One thing I do like though is that you put Idaho dead last, good job for doing that! Also how could you put Cal at 21, they're better than that! I cannot beleive that you put THE Ohio State at 4, they lost this week!! I mean they have to at least be at 6 or 7 come on!!!
I don't think footballaddict gets it ... either that or he's an ass. Check out the right side, it explains how the ratings are generated. Has nothing to do with his opinions.
Magic Rat --
The projections do lose weight similar to what you suggested -- roughly speaking, 1/7 per week over the first seven weeks of the year. But each team's projected data isn't isolated to that team. The FEI formula "solves for" the respective ratings of all 120 teams relative to one another. I don't know that I could isolate any one reason for Florida's or Kentucky's drop, but the outcome of their games to date, the change in ratings of their opponents to date, and to some extent the revised big picture of all teams relative to one another changes each week, too.
So, I don't run 2009 numbers entirely separate from projected numbers and work out the weighting independently. Instead, the projections themselves change somewhat for all teams -- and the changes can be especially felt by conferences as a whole.
Where is the expanded data (CSV format) with Off/Def Efficiency, etc? Will we get to see the F+ rating that was covered in the FO Almanac?
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