Wednesday, September 09, 2009

Week 1 FEI Ratings

Updated through the results of September 7th games. Only FBS games are considered.

RankTeamW-LFEI
1Florida0-00.341
2Texas1-00.234
3USC1-00.207
4Alabama1-00.205
5Virginia Tech0-10.200
6Ohio State1-00.195
7Oklahoma0-10.184
8Georgia Tech0-00.180
9LSU1-00.179
10West Virginia0-00.173
11Auburn1-00.169
12Boston College0-00.166
13Penn State1-00.164
14Oklahoma State1-00.157
15Georgia0-10.152
16Clemson1-00.148
17Notre Dame1-00.145
18BYU1-00.144
19Michigan1-00.128
20California1-00.123
21Arkansas0-00.117
22Iowa0-00.116
23Utah1-00.116
24Boise State1-00.109
25Texas Tech0-00.098
26Miami1-00.097
27Missouri1-00.095
28Florida State0-10.093
29Oregon0-10.092
30Vanderbilt0-00.091
31Pittsburgh0-00.088
32Michigan State0-00.085
33Navy0-10.082
34South Carolina1-00.076
35North Carolina0-00.067
36Southern Mississippi0-00.066
37Kansas0-00.065
38Arizona1-00.065
39Cincinnati1-00.063
40Tennessee1-00.060
41Arizona State0-00.055
42Wisconsin1-00.054
43South Florida0-00.052
44Wake Forest0-10.052
45TCU0-00.051
46Louisville0-00.043
47Oregon State0-00.043
48Virginia0-00.039
49UCLA1-00.038
50East Carolina0-00.036
51Tulsa1-00.034
52Minnesota1-00.033
53Texas A&M1-00.032
54North Carolina State0-10.029
55Mississippi1-00.022
56Stanford1-00.019
57Connecticut1-00.017
58Fresno State0-00.013
59Nebraska1-00.012
60Central Michigan0-10.008
61Northwestern0-00.001
62Purdue1-0-0.003
63UAB1-0-0.004
64Northern Illinois0-1-0.009
65Baylor1-0-0.012
66Kansas State0-0-0.014
67Central Florida0-0-0.022
68Rutgers0-1-0.023
69Middle Tennessee0-1-0.029
70Houston0-0-0.032
71Marshall0-0-0.033
72Maryland0-1-0.035
73Air Force0-0-0.041
74Washington0-1-0.054
75Toledo0-1-0.054
76Bowling Green1-0-0.058
77UTEP0-1-0.059
78Akron0-1-0.060
79Indiana0-0-0.061
80Mississippi State0-0-0.063
81Iowa State0-0-0.065
82Kentucky1-0-0.066
83Ohio0-1-0.074
84Louisiana Tech0-1-0.076
85Colorado0-1-0.078
86Ball State0-1-0.087
87Troy0-1-0.092
88Louisiana Monroe0-1-0.094
89Army1-0-0.094
90Nevada0-1-0.098
91Duke0-0-0.099
92Wyoming0-0-0.099
93New Mexico0-1-0.105
94Memphis0-1-0.107
95SMU0-0-0.112
96San Diego State0-1-0.113
97Kent State0-0-0.114
98Buffalo1-0-0.117
99Colorado State1-0-0.123
100Louisiana Lafayette0-0-0.125
101Western Michigan0-1-0.136
102Eastern Michigan0-1-0.137
103Illinois0-1-0.137
104Syracuse0-1-0.138
105Temple0-0-0.142
106Hawaii0-0-0.144
107Utah State0-1-0.146
108North Texas1-0-0.153
109Arkansas State0-0-0.158
110Tulane0-1-0.160
111Washington State0-1-0.161
112UNLV0-0-0.164
113Miami (OH)0-1-0.166
114Florida International0-0-0.175
115San Jose State0-1-0.177
116Rice0-1-0.179
117Florida Atlantic0-1-0.229
118Idaho1-0-0.231
119Western Kentucky0-1-0.234
120New Mexico State0-1-0.242

9 comments:

Magic Rat said...

Brian, I'm assuming that, like last year, the Week 1 Ratings are a function of last week's games plus the projections with less and less weight on the projections as the season progresses. If that's the case how can the FEI for teams that don't have an FBS game yet like Florida, Ga Tech, Arkansas, et al. Thanks.

Magic Rat said...

. . . how can the FEI change? (that's what I was trying to ask.)

Anonymous said...

Thanks Brian.

Would you post the link to the spreadsheet if you have it available. I would like to take a look at the offensive and defensive breakdowns.

Thanks.

LaFortune Teller said...

For all teams without an FBS game, the FEI listed is the same as the Projected FEI - no change. For those with a game under their belts, the change is reflective of the performance in the game and the reciprocal performance of the opponent.

LaFortune Teller said...

As for Off/Def breakdowns, I will be waiting until several more weeks are complete before publishing these - the opponent adjustments are too difficult to resolve without more data points.

kevanlee said...

No. 24 is probably as high as Boise State will get? Oh well. At least Idaho's still at the bottom even after a win.

Magic Rat said...

Brian, Based on your article at FO, why did Floriday's strength of schedule plunge from 23 preseason to 47 after week 1. At the same time odds an elite team would run their schedule went up from 19.6% to 29.4%. Which opponent(s) suddenly looks worse after one week? Did Georgia's loss make that big a difference? Thanks.

Magic Rat said...

As a follow-up, I see TN's FEI took a rather sharp drop too (.113 and #23 to .06 and #40) I know W. Ky is awful but the Vols killed them -- even exceeding your game projection by a ton.) What on earth happened in the drive data to cause the hit (and I assume a hit to Florida's SOS as well)?

LaFortune Teller said...

Florida's SOS dip is almost exclusively attributable to the losses by Georgia and Florida State (two of the top four teams on the Gators' schedule).

As for Tennessee, the non-garbage portion of the game (and the part that is used for GE and FEI) concluded with the 21st possession with the score at 42-7. The projected GE was slightly higher than the actual one, in fact, so the Volunteers actually underperformed.